{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "211c0f45-ed02-47a7-9660-21d9ed8843e8",
    "symbol": "VPN",
    "name": "Global X Data Center REITS & Digital Infrastructure UCITS ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 80.342,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 5.294,
    "architecture_energy": 21.936,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.043,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.339,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.5,
        "rotation_up": 15.37,
        "upward_expansion": 42.24,
        "deceleration": 87.93,
        "rotation_down": 42.31,
        "downward_expansion": 33.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.216667,
        22.778818,
        23.038848,
        22.401181
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 22.25,
    "trend_reference": 21.4346,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.038041,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.005115,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.482828,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.703478,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.197138,
    "excess_performance": 0.026246,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038041,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121817,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.482828,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.181804,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007035,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.213365,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197138,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.354588,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 144047,
      "relative_activity": 1.822066,
      "balance": 2.354588,
      "dry_up": 1.119652,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053863,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.273728,
      "from_high_reference": -0.117239,
      "from_low_reference": 0.584532
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.4346,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.005115,
      "structural_low": 18.33,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.034056,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03397,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.154834,
        "worst_return": -0.045602,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.132739,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.04182,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.202286,
        "worst_return": -0.138141,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.137937,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.121825,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.512548,
        "worst_return": -0.035043,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.037193,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045012,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.037193,
        "worst_return": -0.037193,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009632,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031888,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.059268,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013259,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.144622,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.192812,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020753,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.06199,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.019716,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
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        "return": 0.102238,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": 22.039983,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": 22.560967,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 85479.3,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 74594.65,
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        "relative_strength": 17.723357,
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        "energy": 66.604748,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 13721,
        "typical_volume": 72421.95,
        "trend": 20.473,
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        "relative_strength": 7.173941,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.417616,
        "energy": 58.134349,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 23.139999,
        "volume": 106415,
        "typical_volume": 73662.3,
        "trend": 20.702533,
        "fair_value": 14.716897,
        "relative_strength": 8.141507,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.788756,
        "energy": 43.207828,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 21.700001,
        "volume": 81526,
        "typical_volume": 73012.1,
        "trend": 20.894733,
        "fair_value": 14.786615,
        "relative_strength": 2.606704,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.363134,
        "energy": 26.927977,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.915334,
          23.547818,
          23.042253,
          22.173933
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 22.860001,
        "volume": 66650,
        "typical_volume": 73522.75,
        "trend": 21.1256,
        "fair_value": 14.861923,
        "relative_strength": 7.876933,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.446092,
        "energy": 30.552531,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.716,
          23.382182,
          23.110334,
          22.300725
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.719999,
        "volume": 61842,
        "typical_volume": 74471.2,
        "trend": 21.287333,
        "fair_value": 14.931244,
        "relative_strength": 1.521458,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -3.194062,
        "energy": 20.539262,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.29,
          23.014,
          23.053938,
          22.339073
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.25,
        "volume": 144047,
        "typical_volume": 79056.95,
        "trend": 21.4346,
        "fair_value": 15.005115,
        "relative_strength": 0.703478,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.293851,
        "energy": 21.936082,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.216667,
          22.778818,
          23.038848,
          22.401181
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}