{ "ticker": { "uuid": "212b54ea-0193-4dbd-acea-287ffc290748", "symbol": "MOCO", "name": "Moody's Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 50.379, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.729, "architecture_energy": 45.57, "architecture_maturity": 19.32, "architecture_confidence": 58.745, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.28, "rotation_up": 56.92, "upward_expansion": 77.17, "deceleration": 63.44, "rotation_down": 16.96, "downward_expansion": 6.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 418.8, 416.454545, 404.863432, 399.051353 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 413.0, "trend_reference": 397.411729, "distance_from_trend": 0.039224, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 394.234058, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.047601, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.929521, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.081005, "excess_performance": -0.093241, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039224, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011079, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.047601, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052249, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.179295, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037872, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.081005, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04227, "annualized_volatility": 0.289299, "from_high_reference": -0.110319, "from_low_reference": 0.219783 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 397.411729, "fair_value_reference": 394.234058, "structural_low": 338.584808, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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-16.137616, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.879406, "energy": 53.306108, "activity_lines": [ 403.866667, 395.922904, 389.678971, 391.469474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 425.0, "volume": 26, "typical_volume": 9.8, "trend": 399.107652, "fair_value": 391.278339, "relative_strength": -15.865661, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.584245, "energy": 68.509068, "activity_lines": [ 412.866667, 402.016877, 393.324326, 393.168352 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 446.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.8, "trend": 399.727364, "fair_value": 392.116542, "relative_strength": -9.491564, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 62.492772, "energy": 81.587809, "activity_lines": [ 426.6, 411.345455, 398.731063, 396.193665 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 416.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.3, "trend": 399.174668, "fair_value": 392.787385, "relative_strength": -16.138077, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.730974, "energy": 72.388777, "activity_lines": [ 426.266667, 414.090909, 401.065662, 397.243512 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 413.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.3, "trend": 398.803794, "fair_value": 393.501366, "relative_strength": -16.10456, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.285312, "energy": 62.51778, "activity_lines": [ 423.266667, 415.509091, 403.051573, 398.135469 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 413.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.3, "trend": 397.411729, "fair_value": 394.234058, "relative_strength": -17.929521, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.728518, "energy": 45.570338, "activity_lines": [ 418.8, 416.454545, 404.863432, 399.051353 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }