{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2152a217-9939-497d-bc53-e50453593b05",
    "symbol": "CMIG3",
    "name": "Companhia Energ\u00e9tica de Minas Gerais - CEMIG",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.272,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 38.407,
    "architecture_energy": 28.409,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.736,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.612,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.17,
        "rotation_up": 58.07,
        "upward_expansion": 66.85,
        "deceleration": 54.81,
        "rotation_down": 11.32,
        "downward_expansion": 10.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.376667,
        16.175811,
        16.181872,
        16.13008
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 16.129999,
    "trend_reference": 15.852989,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.017474,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.511973,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.289165,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.836909,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.121701,
    "excess_performance": 0.178749,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017474,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054645,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.289165,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084561,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048369,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070935,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121701,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.318465,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 233800,
      "relative_activity": 0.485586,
      "balance": 0.318465,
      "dry_up": 0.817272,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045061,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.308307,
      "from_high_reference": -0.180359,
      "from_low_reference": 0.258342
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.852989,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.511973,
      "structural_low": 14.244834,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": 0.013591,
        "positive_rate": 0.55,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.55,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023971,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.066339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.105145,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "best_return": 0.38676,
        "worst_return": -0.057899,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.096914,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.119221,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.100097,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 18.299038,
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        "typical_volume": 672125.0,
        "trend": 14.434254,
        "fair_value": 11.949814,
        "relative_strength": 0.945145,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.297649,
        "energy": 92.349034,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 12.016581,
        "relative_strength": -5.329197,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 654540.0,
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        "fair_value": 12.051733,
        "relative_strength": -2.256551,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 652975.0,
        "trend": 14.861138,
        "fair_value": 12.086819,
        "relative_strength": -0.333603,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 25.323993,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 660860.0,
        "trend": 14.960501,
        "fair_value": 12.125595,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 33.773979,
        "energy": 24.880124,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 651165.0,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 65000,
        "typical_volume": 635655.0,
        "trend": 15.102303,
        "fair_value": 12.196359,
        "relative_strength": 1.12881,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 609830.0,
        "trend": 15.172617,
        "fair_value": 12.232389,
        "relative_strength": 0.976674,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 20.217586,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 15.6,
        "volume": 63800,
        "typical_volume": 552620.0,
        "trend": 15.31167,
        "fair_value": 12.289268,
        "relative_strength": -0.306786,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.428346,
        "energy": 17.40742,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.463469,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 15.67,
        "volume": 79300,
        "typical_volume": 515100.0,
        "trend": 15.39107,
        "fair_value": 12.323936,
        "relative_strength": -0.188667,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "direction": 3.51434,
        "energy": 17.931288,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.511307,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 16.5,
        "volume": 266800,
        "typical_volume": 518030.0,
        "trend": 15.497198,
        "fair_value": 12.363779,
        "relative_strength": 3.24803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.613127,
        "energy": 16.218545,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.84359,
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          15.924215
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.76,
        "volume": 364300,
        "typical_volume": 513300.0,
        "trend": 15.613244,
        "fair_value": 12.407118,
        "relative_strength": 7.547118,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.761011,
        "energy": 28.962928,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.199864,
          15.945872,
          16.171481,
          16.005686
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.540001,
        "volume": 324400,
        "typical_volume": 512385.0,
        "trend": 15.695862,
        "fair_value": 12.445789,
        "relative_strength": 6.132496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.597208,
        "energy": 34.299865,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.412,
          16.064861,
          16.202716,
          16.065477
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.34,
        "volume": 651500,
        "typical_volume": 529460.0,
        "trend": 15.772778,
        "fair_value": 12.481128,
        "relative_strength": 2.761155,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.121293,
        "energy": 34.917169,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.454,
          16.142037,
          16.205582,
          16.107034
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.129999,
        "volume": 233800,
        "typical_volume": 481480.0,
        "trend": 15.852989,
        "fair_value": 12.511973,
        "relative_strength": 4.836909,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.407014,
        "energy": 28.409293,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.376667,
          16.175811,
          16.181872,
          16.13008
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}