{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2171a332-a2ac-46d8-9bff-477bb9951f01", "symbol": "6499", "name": "Medeon Biodesign, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.182, "architecture_energy": 69.016, "architecture_maturity": 48.903, "architecture_confidence": 88.258, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.76, "rotation_up": 15.36, "upward_expansion": 14.11, "deceleration": 43.64, "rotation_down": 70.77, "downward_expansion": 89.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.753334, 64.443637, 71.022857, 75.975699 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 66.800003, "trend_reference": 82.093333, "distance_from_trend": -0.186292, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 65.806805, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.015093, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.185455, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.265934, "excess_performance": -0.707306, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.186292, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102053, "read": "Falling" 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55.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.008681, "positive_rate": 0.551724, "directional_follow_through": 0.448276, "median_excess_return": -0.015612, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.23834, "worst_return": -0.213447, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.01011, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.071197, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.439825, "worst_return": -0.142121, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.050204, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.168697, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.584009, "worst_return": -0.15654, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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{ "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 64.599998, "volume": 1752823, "typical_volume": 3684495.65, "trend": 86.533333, "fair_value": 65.622719, "relative_strength": -50.868505, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.550963, "energy": 82.604567, "activity_lines": [ 69.006666, 72.94, 78.387619, 82.085376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.200001, "volume": 1144101, "typical_volume": 3521142.9, "trend": 85.59, "fair_value": 65.676141, "relative_strength": -51.90394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.727323, "energy": 76.882261, "activity_lines": [ 66.733334, 70.452727, 76.526666, 80.58 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.099998, "volume": 2081389, "typical_volume": 3413159.05, "trend": 84.183333, "fair_value": 65.688042, "relative_strength": -54.952972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.500048, "energy": 89.526059, "activity_lines": [ 63.126666, 67.227272, 74.180476, 78.741935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.5, "volume": 1110519, "typical_volume": 2463214.8, "trend": 82.993333, "fair_value": 65.711573, "relative_strength": -54.670691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.353629, "energy": 88.665429, "activity_lines": [ 60.379999, 64.74, 72.040952, 77.02043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 66.800003, "volume": 1307158, "typical_volume": 2204133.25, "trend": 82.093333, "fair_value": 65.806805, "relative_strength": -48.185455, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.181714, "energy": 69.015576, "activity_lines": [ 61.753334, 64.443637, 71.022857, 75.975699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }