{ "ticker": { "uuid": "217422b1-ea79-460f-8b43-cf576b82126e", "symbol": "BMOB3", "name": "Bemobi Mobile Tech S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 56.774, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.121, "architecture_energy": 39.344, "architecture_maturity": 10.338, "architecture_confidence": 92.328, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.27, "rotation_up": 18.11, "upward_expansion": 5.67, "deceleration": 46.08, "rotation_down": 48.27, "downward_expansion": 74.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.318667, 23.502909, 24.109931, 24.354166 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 22.85, "trend_reference": 24.454258, "distance_from_trend": -0.065602, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.1165, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.417802, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.589152, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.007433, "excess_performance": 0.049616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065602, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007063, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.417802, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.300044, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.045892, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061922, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.007433, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.186335, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1488200, "relative_activity": 0.767017, "balance": 0.186335, "dry_up": 0.610142, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065751, "annualized_volatility": 0.289298, "from_high_reference": -0.19575, "from_low_reference": 0.273446 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.454258, "fair_value_reference": 16.1165, "structural_low": 21.621381, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.009756, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": 0.004566, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.106336, "worst_return": -0.062979, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.090822, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.039505, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.267897, "worst_return": -0.027178, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.218202, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.004192, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.30519, "worst_return": 0.013509, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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[ 23.784667, 23.950433, 24.657147, 24.611355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.030001, "volume": 1167100, "typical_volume": 2077430.0, "trend": 24.358312, "fair_value": 15.880671, "relative_strength": -0.620133, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.469721, "energy": 18.352222, "activity_lines": [ 23.843334, 23.903124, 24.584072, 24.592749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.799999, "volume": 1018800, "typical_volume": 2004840.0, "trend": 24.362192, "fair_value": 15.956934, "relative_strength": -5.774929, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.303014, "energy": 25.829771, "activity_lines": [ 23.54, 23.665636, 24.393825, 24.492213 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.8, "volume": 1061200, "typical_volume": 1957265.0, "trend": 24.427533, "fair_value": 16.037329, "relative_strength": -3.749254, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.769063, "energy": 19.277334, "activity_lines": [ 23.597333, 23.661818, 24.300956, 24.455942 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.85, "volume": 1488200, "typical_volume": 1940245.0, "trend": 24.454258, "fair_value": 16.1165, "relative_strength": -4.589152, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.121439, "energy": 39.344065, "activity_lines": [ 23.318667, 23.502909, 24.109931, 24.354166 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }