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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.349, "architecture_energy": 10.453, "architecture_maturity": 29.858, "architecture_confidence": 62.708, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.26, "rotation_up": 34.71, "upward_expansion": 63.94, "deceleration": 80.12, "rotation_down": 27.29, "downward_expansion": 16.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.026667, 48.239823, 48.03864, 47.825825 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 47.02, "trend_reference": 47.178847, "distance_from_trend": -0.003367, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.436272, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.192303, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.190752, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.07896, "excess_performance": -0.046664, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003367, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03858, "read": "Rising" 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"relative_strength": -3.360922, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.537615, "energy": 42.392564, "activity_lines": [ 48.525474, 48.083687, 47.890048, 47.425617 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.7, "volume": 6740125, "typical_volume": 7433167.95, "trend": 46.585822, "fair_value": 39.111154, "relative_strength": -1.623151, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.023175, "energy": 46.972805, "activity_lines": [ 48.687113, 48.250085, 47.973996, 47.577045 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.95, "volume": 6194032, "typical_volume": 7344749.85, "trend": 46.851283, "fair_value": 39.226268, "relative_strength": 1.545219, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.626664, "energy": 55.68622, "activity_lines": [ 49.1776, 48.619209, 48.177059, 47.794089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.35, "volume": 8477349, "typical_volume": 7299511.4, "trend": 47.026806, "fair_value": 39.332014, "relative_strength": -4.55519, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.499103, "energy": 25.258888, "activity_lines": [ 48.597227, 48.448698, 48.122181, 47.826264 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.02, "volume": 6522520, "typical_volume": 7098638.3, "trend": 47.178847, "fair_value": 39.436272, "relative_strength": -8.190752, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.349117, "energy": 10.452982, "activity_lines": [ 48.026667, 48.239823, 48.03864, 47.825825 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }