{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "217f733a-7ca0-4b00-80cb-3b5ad40e92d6",
    "symbol": "00922",
    "name": "Cathay MSCI Taiwan Leaders 50 Select ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.03,
    "architecture_energy": 31.945,
    "architecture_maturity": 71.533,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.341,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.5,
        "rotation_up": 31.4,
        "upward_expansion": 61.13,
        "deceleration": 88.33,
        "rotation_down": 27.82,
        "downward_expansion": 22.47
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      "activity_lines": [
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        36.395868
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
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    "latest_close": 39.549999,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.181667,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.473756,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.931741,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.837483,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.484576,
    "excess_performance": 0.105264,
    "evidence": [
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        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181667,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.193707,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.931741,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06798,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048375,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000869,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.484576,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.414485,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 33241159,
      "relative_activity": 0.541684,
      "balance": 1.414485,
      "dry_up": 1.023502,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058213,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.303023,
      "from_high_reference": -0.061016,
      "from_low_reference": 1.047784
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 20.473756,
      "structural_low": 25.99539,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.056135,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "trend": 31.463408,
        "fair_value": 19.806465,
        "relative_strength": 4.999167,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.307419,
        "energy": 66.24501,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.607333,
          39.896727,
          37.087696,
          34.674725
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 37.91,
        "volume": 70953058,
        "typical_volume": 91373961.9,
        "trend": 31.940979,
        "fair_value": 19.96977,
        "relative_strength": 4.621366,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.410984,
        "energy": 60.075001,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.783333,
          39.691818,
          37.415672,
          35.090634
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.029999,
        "volume": 59232946,
        "typical_volume": 79893098.65,
        "trend": 32.465546,
        "fair_value": 20.136504,
        "relative_strength": 5.135084,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.004701,
        "energy": 49.624678,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.403333,
          39.664363,
          37.811879,
          35.54799
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.029999,
        "volume": 87807226,
        "typical_volume": 70994519.7,
        "trend": 32.972346,
        "fair_value": 20.304239,
        "relative_strength": 6.259282,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.785069,
        "energy": 36.182015,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.169332,
          39.578181,
          38.157238,
          35.971503
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.549999,
        "volume": 33241159,
        "typical_volume": 61366372.7,
        "trend": 33.469674,
        "fair_value": 20.473756,
        "relative_strength": 4.837483,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.030301,
        "energy": 31.944975,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.144666,
          39.54709,
          38.501761,
          36.395868
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}