{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21850655-8dc8-4f0a-8731-464aff9c17ee", "symbol": "600568", "name": "Zhongzhu Healthcare Holding Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.885, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.219, "architecture_energy": 42.376, "architecture_maturity": 26.168, "architecture_confidence": 91.633, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.68, "rotation_up": 19.58, "upward_expansion": 5.42, "deceleration": 49.43, "rotation_down": 52.76, "downward_expansion": 76.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.265333, 2.302182, 2.416381, 2.513656 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.25, "trend_reference": 2.609, "distance_from_trend": -0.137601, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.791987, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.255589, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.106896, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.169742, "excess_performance": -0.126538, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.137601, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010368, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.255589, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.220769, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.061069, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132161, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.169742, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.584623, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29733236, "relative_activity": 0.566786, "balance": 0.584623, "dry_up": 0.705398, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111111, "annualized_volatility": 0.42811, "from_high_reference": -0.311927, "from_low_reference": 0.380368 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.609, "fair_value_reference": 1.791987, "structural_low": 1.94, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.002336, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": 0.021833, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.257576, "worst_return": -0.168675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.005814, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.025634, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.098765, "worst_return": -0.188235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.040698, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.042742, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.125786, "worst_return": -0.235294, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"fair_value": 1.782308, "relative_strength": 2.080039, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.483879, "energy": 57.085601, "activity_lines": [ 2.341333, 2.400182, 2.520571, 2.589806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.15, "volume": 34657053, "typical_volume": 63856278.8, "trend": 2.624333, "fair_value": 1.785, "relative_strength": -6.585581, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.236575, "energy": 49.729404, "activity_lines": [ 2.282, 2.347273, 2.474381, 2.558301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.3, "volume": 39444591, "typical_volume": 56038733.35, "trend": 2.617667, "fair_value": 1.788654, "relative_strength": -0.984355, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.927318, "energy": 39.853549, "activity_lines": [ 2.287333, 2.327273, 2.445952, 2.537376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.25, "volume": 29733236, "typical_volume": 52459354.15, "trend": 2.609, "fair_value": 1.791987, "relative_strength": -6.106896, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.218824, "energy": 42.375595, "activity_lines": [ 2.265333, 2.302182, 2.416381, 2.513656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }