{ "ticker": { "uuid": "218dc1c5-f2c7-436a-9f46-d83f39d05cbd", "symbol": "1218", "name": "Taisun Enterprise Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -90.496, "architecture_energy": 95.135, "architecture_maturity": 15.384, "architecture_confidence": 79.084, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.6, "rotation_up": 8.15, "upward_expansion": 21.95, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 88.41, "downward_expansion": 99.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.493333, 16.129091, 16.7739, 17.019547 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 14.75, "trend_reference": 17.197177, "distance_from_trend": -0.142301, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.100896, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.185123, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.507537, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.122497, "excess_performance": -0.563869, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.142301, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005202, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.185123, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10194, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.395075, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044108, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.122497, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.203183, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4841096, "relative_activity": 0.916639, "balance": 0.203183, "dry_up": 1.385318, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046318, "annualized_volatility": 0.153544, "from_high_reference": -0.198029, "from_low_reference": 0.042403 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.197177, "fair_value_reference": 18.100896, "structural_low": 14.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.0046, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.392857, "median_excess_return": -0.03319, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.074586, "worst_return": -0.082862, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.01111, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.111954, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.059801, "worst_return": -0.235275, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.004808, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.210786, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.049261, "worst_return": -0.189544, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-33.163902, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.525969, "energy": 69.245466, "activity_lines": [ 16.64, 17.094523, 17.357312, 17.389852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.95, "volume": 9243388, "typical_volume": 4983609.75, "trend": 17.31876, "fair_value": 18.204203, "relative_strength": -32.482114, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.707348, "energy": 86.09177, "activity_lines": [ 16.32, 16.843642, 17.205688, 17.299597 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.5, "volume": 9607073, "typical_volume": 5214874.45, "trend": 17.272021, "fair_value": 18.154954, "relative_strength": -35.134085, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.562201, "energy": 91.395042, "activity_lines": [ 15.97, 16.536722, 17.020174, 17.182258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 14.75, "volume": 4841096, "typical_volume": 5281354.5, "trend": 17.197177, "fair_value": 18.100896, "relative_strength": -39.507537, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.496003, "energy": 95.134533, "activity_lines": [ 15.493333, 16.129091, 16.7739, 17.019547 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }