{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "21908d07-bf4f-4624-948c-d78e72ebbf75",
    "symbol": "000039",
    "name": "China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.335,
    "architecture_energy": 50.421,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.087,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.063,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.24,
        "rotation_up": 25.62,
        "upward_expansion": 8.39,
        "deceleration": 57.47,
        "rotation_down": 49.12,
        "downward_expansion": 79.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        9.27681,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 8.58,
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    "distance_from_trend": -0.174153,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8.482226,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.011527,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.041147,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.111801,
    "excess_performance": -0.119201,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.174153,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013765,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011527,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.536999,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.130411,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.265914,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.111801,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.557671,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 150229977,
      "relative_activity": 0.705248,
      "balance": 0.557671,
      "dry_up": 0.998483,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.117447,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.611972,
      "from_high_reference": -0.402923,
      "from_low_reference": 0.165761
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.389333,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.482226,
      "structural_low": 7.36,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
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        "positive_rate": 0.526316,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.473684,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013795,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 8.450066,
        "relative_strength": -22.031055,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -80.360222,
        "energy": 87.280618,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 222653145.1,
        "trend": 10.467667,
        "fair_value": 8.458866,
        "relative_strength": -15.401187,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -65.996445,
        "energy": 75.869934,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.67,
        "volume": 212976135,
        "typical_volume": 217441578.05,
        "trend": 10.439667,
        "fair_value": 8.470957,
        "relative_strength": -7.761512,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.216092,
        "energy": 55.627137,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.58,
        "volume": 150229977,
        "typical_volume": 213017114.4,
        "trend": 10.389333,
        "fair_value": 8.482226,
        "relative_strength": -13.041147,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.334558,
        "energy": 50.420502,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}