{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2191da86-0566-4934-99b1-9e31863ceeba", "symbol": "ARSAN", "name": "Arsan Holding Anonim Sirketi", "exchange": "IST", "country": "TR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-11", "benchmark": "XU100.IS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 52.858, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 38.712, "architecture_energy": 62.561, "architecture_maturity": 15.695, "architecture_confidence": 69.445, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.33, "rotation_up": 67.41, "upward_expansion": 58.3, "deceleration": 26.97, "rotation_down": 18.93, "downward_expansion": 23.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.998, 3.801455, 3.632048, 3.61628 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.08, "trend_reference": 3.639, "distance_from_trend": 0.121187, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.576786, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.583368, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.327999, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.014925, "excess_performance": -0.090048, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.121187, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021687, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.583368, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.213193, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.03328, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171842, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.014925, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.181339, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 88857308, "relative_activity": 1.149215, "balance": 3.181339, "dry_up": 2.164828, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082202, "annualized_volatility": 0.475799, "from_high_reference": -0.177419, "from_low_reference": 0.59375 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.639, "fair_value_reference": 2.576786, "structural_low": 3.1, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout 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}, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 3.88, "volume": 213540553, "typical_volume": 68251348.3, "trend": 3.675, "fair_value": 2.528007, "relative_strength": -1.495358, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 9.674205, "energy": 10.565452, "activity_lines": [ 3.568667, 3.505273, 3.473429, 3.537247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-28", "close": 4.26, "volume": 216850706, "typical_volume": 74682606.15, "trend": 3.674667, "fair_value": 2.544842, "relative_strength": 6.970741, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.375288, "energy": 56.154785, "activity_lines": [ 3.816, 3.652364, 3.545952, 3.574989 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-04", "close": 3.89, "volume": 150289300, "typical_volume": 75787794.55, "trend": 3.655333, "fair_value": 2.559513, "relative_strength": 1.932557, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.65217, "energy": 48.504969, "activity_lines": [ 3.892667, 3.715818, 3.580429, 3.588882 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "close": 4.08, "volume": 88857308, "typical_volume": 77319985.65, "trend": 3.639, "fair_value": 2.576786, "relative_strength": 3.327999, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.71153, "energy": 62.560654, "activity_lines": [ 3.998, 3.801455, 3.632048, 3.61628 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }