{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21969c84-cccb-4cf0-93bd-ddb7c28404b7", "symbol": "UC76", "name": "UBS Core BBG US Liquid Corp UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 79.135, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.591, "architecture_energy": 71.106, "architecture_maturity": 4.692, "architecture_confidence": 75.457, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.3, "rotation_up": 8.37, "upward_expansion": 15.84, "deceleration": 37.12, "rotation_down": 73.02, "downward_expansion": 89.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.583167, 14.659182, 14.704702, 14.718383 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.6125, "trend_reference": 14.740032, "distance_from_trend": -0.008652, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.897476, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.05145, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.467065, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.010449, "excess_performance": -0.061684, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008652, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000201, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.05145, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024815, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.084671, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03929, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.010449, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.178167, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24026, "relative_activity": 0.754082, "balance": 4.178167, "dry_up": 0.812201, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.008199, "annualized_volatility": 0.051948, "from_high_reference": -0.021266, "from_low_reference": 0.018852 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.740032, "fair_value_reference": 13.897476, "structural_low": 14.49, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.871221, "energy": 14.30389, "activity_lines": [ 14.782667, 14.778409, 14.760714, 14.7615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.69, "volume": 56996, "typical_volume": 34244.7, "trend": 14.75726, "fair_value": 13.862128, "relative_strength": -6.222481, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.433593, "energy": 11.701358, "activity_lines": [ 14.746, 14.764682, 14.754929, 14.757111 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.5325, "volume": 11287, "typical_volume": 32790.85, "trend": 14.751068, "fair_value": 13.873125, "relative_strength": -8.154143, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.624505, "energy": 53.743328, "activity_lines": [ 14.6655, 14.723955, 14.735369, 14.74261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.5075, "volume": 11202, "typical_volume": 31947.0, "trend": 14.744447, "fair_value": 13.884702, "relative_strength": -9.132456, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.13288, "energy": 75.515267, "activity_lines": [ 14.5945, 14.6805, 14.714833, 14.726896 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.6125, "volume": 24026, "typical_volume": 31861.25, "trend": 14.740032, "fair_value": 13.897476, "relative_strength": -8.467065, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.591222, "energy": 71.106449, "activity_lines": [ 14.583167, 14.659182, 14.704702, 14.718383 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }