{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "21986cf4-9326-4560-a12c-f04bcc586d27",
    "symbol": "PZA",
    "name": "Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.514,
    "architecture_energy": 59.521,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.713,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.42,
        "rotation_up": 27.83,
        "upward_expansion": 11.03,
        "deceleration": 50.47,
        "rotation_down": 50.58,
        "downward_expansion": 82.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.75742,
        12.859997,
        13.195085,
        13.735096
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 12.94,
    "trend_reference": 14.430434,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.103284,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 13.082108,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010863,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.897808,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.204013,
    "excess_performance": -0.324434,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103284,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041916,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010863,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079716,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.218978,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040547,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.204013,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.460425,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 345300,
      "relative_activity": 1.100488,
      "balance": 0.460425,
      "dry_up": 1.005275,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.037368,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.231167,
      "from_high_reference": -0.214383,
      "from_low_reference": 0.070122
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.430434,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.082108,
      "structural_low": 12.092075,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.003654,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00938,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.059988,
        "worst_return": -0.046079,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.043908,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02846,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.062458,
        "worst_return": -0.014912,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.009612,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.097898,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.027529,
        "worst_return": -0.008306,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.018931,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.20454,
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        "best_return": 0.018931,
        "worst_return": 0.018931,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022477,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
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        "return": -0.059918,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "return": 0.036467,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012743,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": 0.044994,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.165719,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01604,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
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        "return": 0.07609,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-04-10",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 15.70621,
        "volume": 148500,
        "typical_volume": 184565.0,
        "trend": 15.285721,
        "fair_value": 12.985894,
        "relative_strength": -7.590524,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.191193,
        "energy": 17.148218,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.603364,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 15.496062,
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        "typical_volume": 192875.0,
        "trend": 15.304752,
        "fair_value": 13.012013,
        "relative_strength": -8.507326,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.214724,
        "energy": 19.505536,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.619666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 13.922707,
        "volume": 1070000,
        "typical_volume": 241255.0,
        "trend": 15.277101,
        "fair_value": 13.025842,
        "relative_strength": -17.843126,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.707876,
        "energy": 32.275234,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 13.675324,
        "volume": 438900,
        "typical_volume": 259355.0,
        "trend": 15.227117,
        "fair_value": 13.03735,
        "relative_strength": -18.306302,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -53.062755,
        "energy": 67.528407,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.567049,
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        "typical_volume": 311905.0,
        "trend": 15.136349,
        "fair_value": 13.041123,
        "relative_strength": -25.842185,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -61.505907,
        "energy": 81.35969,
        "activity_lines": [
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          14.460833,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 12.733809,
        "volume": 395600,
        "typical_volume": 323255.0,
        "trend": 15.061766,
        "fair_value": 13.045689,
        "relative_strength": -25.027024,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.407935,
        "energy": 92.850174,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 12.61443,
        "volume": 88200,
        "typical_volume": 319935.0,
        "trend": 15.021492,
        "fair_value": 13.04875,
        "relative_strength": -24.483719,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.106138,
        "energy": 91.826136,
        "activity_lines": [
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          14.519776,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 12.972569,
        "volume": 115400,
        "typical_volume": 318295.0,
        "trend": 14.985112,
        "fair_value": 13.053527,
        "relative_strength": -23.023565,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -68.134695,
        "energy": 88.025645,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 13.151638,
        "volume": 24300,
        "typical_volume": 309025.0,
        "trend": 14.946336,
        "fair_value": 13.059768,
        "relative_strength": -21.546175,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 82.924739,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 13.05181,
        "volume": 34200,
        "typical_volume": 293885.0,
        "trend": 14.894639,
        "fair_value": 13.064919,
        "relative_strength": -21.678585,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.957714,
        "energy": 64.74737,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.983065,
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          13.990573,
          14.456875
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.21912,
        "volume": 41100,
        "typical_volume": 288245.0,
        "trend": 14.839463,
        "fair_value": 13.071141,
        "relative_strength": -20.782703,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.503934,
        "energy": 54.339289,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.087821,
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          13.8561,
          14.348777
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.109707,
        "volume": 190000,
        "typical_volume": 293215.0,
        "trend": 14.77029,
        "fair_value": 13.076928,
        "relative_strength": -21.028441,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.702535,
        "energy": 50.00447,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.123753,
          13.042953,
          13.72399,
          14.23718
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.682,
        "volume": 350700,
        "typical_volume": 301750.0,
        "trend": 14.693652,
        "fair_value": 13.077693,
        "relative_strength": -22.957183,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.601662,
        "energy": 54.031804,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.984096,
          12.966622,
          13.564964,
          14.102452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.582533,
        "volume": 316400,
        "typical_volume": 305270.0,
        "trend": 14.609495,
        "fair_value": 13.077792,
        "relative_strength": -23.171562,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.657615,
        "energy": 57.706433,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.830656,
          12.894766,
          13.414509,
          13.966251
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.61,
        "volume": 249300,
        "typical_volume": 307875.0,
        "trend": 14.523403,
        "fair_value": 13.080144,
        "relative_strength": -22.052211,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.810845,
        "energy": 58.970158,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.724311,
          12.847772,
          13.28214,
          13.837251
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.94,
        "volume": 345300,
        "typical_volume": 313770.0,
        "trend": 14.430434,
        "fair_value": 13.082108,
        "relative_strength": -21.897808,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.514251,
        "energy": 59.520764,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.75742,
          12.859997,
          13.195085,
          13.735096
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}