{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21a4da2f-a2ec-4359-ac6e-52003a6fc1f9", "symbol": "FEMY", "name": "Femasys Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.244, "architecture_energy": 63.668, "architecture_maturity": 66.93, "architecture_confidence": 93.385, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 22.97, "upward_expansion": 10.94, "deceleration": 52.64, "rotation_down": 63.83, "downward_expansion": 86.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.058667, 3.448873, 4.858943, 6.107002 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.66, "trend_reference": 7.777667, "distance_from_trend": -0.657995, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.668372, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.857513, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -77.59023, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.738189, "excess_performance": -0.925643, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.657995, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.357058, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.857513, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.303859, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.775902, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.297444, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.738189, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.66126, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1210864, "relative_activity": 0.375989, "balance": 0.66126, "dry_up": 0.15806, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.57151, "annualized_volatility": 1.014927, "from_high_reference": -0.88018, "from_low_reference": 0.161166 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.777667, "fair_value_reference": 18.668372, "structural_low": 2.2908, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.007936, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061571, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 2.919434, "worst_return": -0.579012, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.2, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.112283, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.184902, "worst_return": -0.559091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.043576, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.123654, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.612428, "worst_return": -0.342473, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 3429785.0, "trend": 8.414333, "fair_value": 18.761346, "relative_strength": -68.904756, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.45328, "energy": 60.062203, "activity_lines": [ 3.646667, 4.138982, 5.6112, 6.815359 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.86, "volume": 248599, "typical_volume": 3304489.55, "trend": 8.0852, "fair_value": 18.706449, "relative_strength": -75.468856, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.87838, "energy": 62.447568, "activity_lines": [ 3.354667, 3.758473, 5.224352, 6.457015 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.66, "volume": 1210864, "typical_volume": 3220475.9, "trend": 7.777667, "fair_value": 18.668372, "relative_strength": -77.59023, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.244067, "energy": 63.667966, "activity_lines": [ 3.058667, 3.448873, 4.858943, 6.107002 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }