{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21af1345-4220-40e4-b26a-8c0e5bb23ca7", "symbol": "53W", "name": "$ Attika Group", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 51.59, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -0.644, "architecture_energy": 8.598, "architecture_maturity": 13.418, "architecture_confidence": 73.798, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 69.58, "rotation_up": 47.01, "upward_expansion": 32.22, "deceleration": 33.56, "rotation_down": 16.22, "downward_expansion": 19.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.204667, 0.200227, 0.201462, 0.201527 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.205, "trend_reference": 0.202102, "distance_from_trend": 0.014341, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.167369, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.224836, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.987372, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.015264, "excess_performance": -0.139572, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014341, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042712, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.224836, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042827, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.069874, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148622, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015264, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.706735, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 304200, "relative_activity": 0.648234, "balance": 2.706735, "dry_up": 0.250067, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097186, "annualized_volatility": 0.445896, "from_high_reference": -0.196078, "from_low_reference": 0.719741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.202102, "fair_value_reference": 0.167369, "structural_low": 0.165, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.047619, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.212121, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.051282, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.02381, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 0.110976, "volume": 1404600, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, 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"typical_volume": 773585.0, "trend": 0.202344, "fair_value": 0.165716, "relative_strength": -5.683171, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.440083, "energy": 36.160144, "activity_lines": [ 0.192333, 0.197636, 0.2002, 0.201166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.195, "volume": 1200, "typical_volume": 727815.0, "trend": 0.202762, "fair_value": 0.166045, "relative_strength": -8.57818, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.750093, "energy": 42.620392, "activity_lines": [ 0.192667, 0.1965, 0.199654, 0.200692 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.205, "volume": 23400, "typical_volume": 583945.0, "trend": 0.202297, "fair_value": 0.166478, "relative_strength": -5.307496, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.716659, "energy": 14.418301, "activity_lines": [ 0.197333, 0.197364, 0.200163, 0.200837 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.21, "volume": 140600, "typical_volume": 543865.0, "trend": 0.201999, "fair_value": 0.166956, "relative_strength": -3.625767, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.207475, "energy": 8.509326, "activity_lines": [ 0.203333, 0.199227, 0.201087, 0.201334 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.205, "volume": 304200, "typical_volume": 469275.0, "trend": 0.202102, "fair_value": 0.167369, "relative_strength": -6.987372, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.644184, "energy": 8.597932, "activity_lines": [ 0.204667, 0.200227, 0.201462, 0.201527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }