{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21c10501-75cd-47e3-9734-196b9cb3b93c", "symbol": "MKC", "name": "McCormick & Company, Incorporated", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.931, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -3.252, "architecture_energy": 17.71, "architecture_maturity": 40.197, "architecture_confidence": 56.428, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.03, "rotation_up": 37.66, "upward_expansion": 35.26, "deceleration": 47.3, "rotation_down": 14.93, "downward_expansion": 43.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 899.530009, 891.788528, 874.073618, 903.325547 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 908.590027, "trend_reference": 958.892937, "distance_from_trend": -0.052459, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1289.031632, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.295138, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.022179, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.144017, "excess_performance": -0.08935, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052459, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102705, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.295138, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088281, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.180222, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.206117, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.144017, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.224102, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1761, "relative_activity": 0.953799, "balance": 0.224102, "dry_up": 0.457401, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0345, "annualized_volatility": 0.402671, "from_high_reference": -0.375169, "from_low_reference": 0.164859 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 958.892937, "fair_value_reference": 1289.031632, "structural_low": 780.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.129287, "energy": 32.528326, "activity_lines": [ 903.398814, 873.557906, 872.906696, 920.041932 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 888.0, "volume": 45, "typical_volume": 1869.5, "trend": 979.625548, "fair_value": 1300.717685, "relative_strength": -21.385639, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.914624, "energy": 30.528865, "activity_lines": [ 903.838941, 880.199021, 871.425128, 913.44608 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 883.0, "volume": 1551, "typical_volume": 1902.0, "trend": 968.832742, "fair_value": 1294.792639, "relative_strength": -21.376276, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.093511, "energy": 21.442848, "activity_lines": [ 897.452288, 884.312863, 870.992625, 907.212174 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 908.590027, "volume": 1761, "typical_volume": 1846.3, "trend": 958.892937, "fair_value": 1289.031632, "relative_strength": -18.022179, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.252303, "energy": 17.709577, "activity_lines": [ 899.530009, 891.788528, 874.073618, 903.325547 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }