{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21c4668e-2545-4dec-873c-fbbddfb427cf", "symbol": "002693", "name": "Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.444, "architecture_energy": 14.187, "architecture_maturity": 28.583, "architecture_confidence": 93.954, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.44, "rotation_up": 31.19, "upward_expansion": 51.03, "deceleration": 76.92, "rotation_down": 31.18, "downward_expansion": 26.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.15, 9.234182, 9.34881, 9.080645 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.72, "trend_reference": 8.676667, "distance_from_trend": 0.120246, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.276667, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04779, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 14.64846, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.304698, "excess_performance": 0.297298, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.120246, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074155, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.04779, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017254, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.146485, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149941, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.304698, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.528054, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 147129625, "relative_activity": 1.840563, "balance": 1.528054, "dry_up": 1.743276, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.145616, "annualized_volatility": 0.594226, "from_high_reference": -0.218021, "from_low_reference": 0.528302 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.676667, "fair_value_reference": 9.276667, "structural_low": 6.99, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.055154, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.040729, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 2.1341, "worst_return": -0.077114, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.268493, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.18791, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 3.43295, "worst_return": -0.064267, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.278846, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.299353, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.591954, "worst_return": -0.061697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 60289189.85, "trend": 8.405667, "fair_value": 9.200192, "relative_strength": 16.066464, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.565514, "energy": 25.195398, "activity_lines": [ 9.638667, 9.658364, 9.348095, 8.947785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.47, "volume": 221938824, "typical_volume": 70438538.3, "trend": 8.492, "fair_value": 9.222308, "relative_strength": 15.591392, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.79247, "energy": 26.413207, "activity_lines": [ 9.672667, 9.598182, 9.401286, 9.016452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.3, "volume": 115617599, "typical_volume": 75080613.25, "trend": 8.538333, "fair_value": 9.236859, "relative_strength": 1.146749, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.71831, "energy": 11.418144, "activity_lines": [ 9.296667, 9.327273, 9.334143, 9.004065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.59, "volume": 72725134, "typical_volume": 77597457.7, "trend": 8.584667, "fair_value": 9.253654, "relative_strength": 6.388206, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.233695, "energy": 5.818014, "activity_lines": [ 9.045333, 9.160182, 9.289857, 9.007398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.72, "volume": 147129625, "typical_volume": 79937294.7, "trend": 8.676667, "fair_value": 9.276667, "relative_strength": 14.64846, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.444251, "energy": 14.187299, "activity_lines": [ 9.15, 9.234182, 9.34881, 9.080645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }