{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "21d55398-d1ea-4896-95fa-56f7f27e004c",
    "symbol": "AZK",
    "name": "Azkoyen, S.A.",
    "exchange": "MCE",
    "country": "ES",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^IBEX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": -2.673,
    "architecture_energy": 24.874,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.036,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.411,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.93,
        "rotation_up": 17.35,
        "upward_expansion": 58.09,
        "deceleration": 88.33,
        "rotation_down": 47.22,
        "downward_expansion": 24.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.11831,
        11.857593,
        11.736559,
        11.219199
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 10.1,
    "trend_reference": 10.498366,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.037946,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.420868,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.361027,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.37335,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.177156,
    "excess_performance": 0.052725,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037946,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129464,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.361027,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.262461,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103733,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.226026,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177156,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.631801,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 314302,
      "relative_activity": 1.312095,
      "balance": 0.631801,
      "dry_up": 2.483074,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.090284,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.311931,
      "from_high_reference": -0.273234,
      "from_low_reference": 0.246914
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.498366,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.420868,
      "structural_low": 8.32,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.004587,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029661,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.061224,
        "worst_return": -0.041096,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.040816,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011697,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.080139,
        "worst_return": -0.018927,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.066202,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.082683,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.029576,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      },
      {
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        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 10.65,
        "volume": 32132,
        "typical_volume": 29140.05,
        "trend": 8.976,
        "fair_value": 6.863633,
        "relative_strength": 7.525159,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 84.628229,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.187333,
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          9.197785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 32336.3,
        "trend": 9.053333,
        "fair_value": 6.898729,
        "relative_strength": 12.229204,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 88.781561,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 33857.1,
        "trend": 9.127667,
        "fair_value": 6.931882,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 84.74336,
        "activity_lines": [
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          9.768905,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 103646.85,
        "trend": 9.202,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 84.240074,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 174611,
        "typical_volume": 111353.95,
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        "fair_value": 7.005317,
        "relative_strength": 12.341445,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 70.692486,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 7527,
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        "trend": 9.413667,
        "fair_value": 7.045502,
        "relative_strength": 17.777701,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 12.55,
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        "fair_value": 7.088799,
        "relative_strength": 19.28888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 9.82262,
        "fair_value": 7.174929,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.8819,
        "energy": 88.097242,
        "activity_lines": [
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          10.514138
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.571832,
        "volume": 57921,
        "typical_volume": 113886.7,
        "trend": 9.989681,
        "fair_value": 7.225342,
        "relative_strength": 21.902138,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.253476,
        "energy": 92.985575,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.872676,
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          11.398031,
          10.756023
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.246479,
        "volume": 295187,
        "typical_volume": 127456.2,
        "trend": 10.14923,
        "fair_value": 7.27401,
        "relative_strength": 21.644096,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.709302,
        "energy": 85.627244,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.066808,
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          11.646503,
          10.966139
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.014085,
        "volume": 542517,
        "typical_volume": 151960.4,
        "trend": 10.2977,
        "fair_value": 7.321514,
        "relative_strength": 20.378657,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.389013,
        "energy": 76.303392,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.107043,
          12.736556,
          11.853574,
          11.150968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.4,
        "volume": 1069678,
        "typical_volume": 202858.55,
        "trend": 10.391033,
        "fair_value": 7.358439,
        "relative_strength": 3.661911,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.687057,
        "energy": 51.158784,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.57831,
          12.566902,
          11.888569,
          11.222085
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.7,
        "volume": 452706,
        "typical_volume": 224586.25,
        "trend": 10.4537,
        "fair_value": 7.391344,
        "relative_strength": -3.426633,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.59233,
        "energy": 19.616673,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.88047,
          12.261793,
          11.844993,
          11.242018
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.1,
        "volume": 314302,
        "typical_volume": 239542.1,
        "trend": 10.498366,
        "fair_value": 7.420868,
        "relative_strength": -10.37335,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -2.672926,
        "energy": 24.874051,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.11831,
          11.857593,
          11.736559,
          11.219199
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}