{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21d613a5-7c05-4e78-866a-a677699a10cf", "symbol": "IBAI", "name": "Imaging Biometrics Ltd.", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.48, "architecture_energy": 18.111, "architecture_maturity": 42.733, "architecture_confidence": 86.866, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.02, "rotation_up": 34.39, "upward_expansion": 55.35, "deceleration": 82.56, "rotation_down": 29.45, "downward_expansion": 23.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.006567, 0.006591, 0.006383, 0.006128 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.0075, "trend_reference": 0.005814, "distance_from_trend": 0.289916, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.014998, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.499921, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.49272, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.578947, "excess_performance": 0.527712, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.289916, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108596, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.499921, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.157662, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.004927, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.242676, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.578947, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.971207, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2749444, "relative_activity": 1.819286, "balance": 1.971207, "dry_up": 1.357198, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.200513, "annualized_volatility": 0.850091, "from_high_reference": -0.464286, "from_low_reference": 0.875 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.005814, "fair_value_reference": 0.014998, "structural_low": 0.00427, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.044514, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.037925, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.269231, "worst_return": -0.171717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.145161, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.11324, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.051282, "worst_return": -0.331034, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.487179, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.516384, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.145161, "worst_return": -0.503448, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.443993, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.545167, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.413793, "worst_return": -0.474194, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.145833, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.454545, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.103448, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", 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"typical_volume": 1427129.4, "trend": 0.006098, "fair_value": 0.015597, "relative_strength": -3.879122, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.725143, "energy": 25.542286, "activity_lines": [ 0.006813, 0.006638, 0.006211, 0.006024 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.006, "volume": 1995628, "typical_volume": 1292999.7, "trend": 0.006014, "fair_value": 0.015443, "relative_strength": -18.119119, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.816036, "energy": 18.388472, "activity_lines": [ 0.006527, 0.00657, 0.006223, 0.006018 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.006, "volume": 808541, "typical_volume": 1283064.95, "trend": 0.005931, "fair_value": 0.015296, "relative_strength": -18.80733, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.515883, "energy": 15.816329, "activity_lines": [ 0.006307, 0.006497, 0.006232, 0.006017 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.006, "volume": 2650788, "typical_volume": 1387076.4, "trend": 0.005848, "fair_value": 0.015142, "relative_strength": -19.421964, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.988784, "energy": 14.174753, "activity_lines": [ 0.006153, 0.006419, 0.006238, 0.006021 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0075, "volume": 2749444, "typical_volume": 1511276.15, "trend": 0.005814, "fair_value": 0.014998, "relative_strength": 0.49272, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.479635, "energy": 18.110913, "activity_lines": [ 0.006567, 0.006591, 0.006383, 0.006128 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }