{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21d876a3-0a16-4768-b968-9053e6ce791b", "symbol": "LENZ", "name": "LENZ Therapeutics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.273, "architecture_energy": 60.084, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.956, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.01, "rotation_up": 27.47, "upward_expansion": 10.74, "deceleration": 58.68, "rotation_down": 57.0, "downward_expansion": 86.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.359333, 5.575818, 6.490048, 7.593333 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5.36, "trend_reference": 9.596333, "distance_from_trend": -0.441453, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.625182, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.740124, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -76.005938, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.623066, "excess_performance": -0.81052, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.441453, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.358234, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.740124, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213732, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.760059, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089144, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.623066, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.527478, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3827353, "relative_activity": 0.852607, "balance": 0.527478, "dry_up": 1.101044, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.211672, "annualized_volatility": 0.776944, "from_high_reference": -0.893651, "from_low_reference": 0.145299 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.596333, "fair_value_reference": 20.625182, "structural_low": 4.68, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.00064, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.038366, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.302041, "worst_return": -0.303181, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.083004, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.040596, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.395556, "worst_return": -0.417778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.447748, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.173009, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.639236, "worst_return": -0.658333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.893699, "energy": 76.5636, "activity_lines": [ 5.581333, 6.082545, 7.218762, 8.541269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.48, "volume": 4749527, "typical_volume": 4506850.05, "trend": 10.27, "fair_value": 20.72775, "relative_strength": -75.593147, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.115205, "energy": 64.975487, "activity_lines": [ 5.499333, 5.895636, 6.954857, 8.207742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.3, "volume": 3898483, "typical_volume": 4557804.4, "trend": 9.913333, "fair_value": 20.676274, "relative_strength": -75.864903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.348728, "energy": 63.625935, "activity_lines": [ 5.402, 5.709818, 6.703286, 7.887097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.36, "volume": 3827353, "typical_volume": 4488997.75, "trend": 9.596333, "fair_value": 20.625182, "relative_strength": -76.005938, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.273286, "energy": 60.084192, "activity_lines": [ 5.359333, 5.575818, 6.490048, 7.593333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }