{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21d87e04-1da1-4d86-9ebb-84332c59cc2a", "symbol": "AVNT", "name": "Avant Brands Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.068, "architecture_energy": 32.465, "architecture_maturity": 61.995, "architecture_confidence": 83.441, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.53, "rotation_up": 24.18, "upward_expansion": 3.59, "deceleration": 57.68, "rotation_down": 42.96, "downward_expansion": 74.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.572667, 0.576545, 0.587619, 0.619269 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.58, "trend_reference": 0.681333, "distance_from_trend": -0.148728, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.746987, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.668, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -30.657271, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.325581, "excess_performance": -0.446003, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.148728, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107424, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.668, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04808, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.306573, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011363, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.325581, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.883755, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17900, "relative_activity": 0.583727, "balance": 0.883755, "dry_up": 1.084298, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122016, "annualized_volatility": 0.559983, "from_high_reference": -0.462963, "from_low_reference": 0.208333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.681333, "fair_value_reference": 1.746987, "structural_low": 0.48, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": -0.068966, "positive_rate": 0.325581, "directional_follow_through": 0.651163, "median_excess_return": -0.077402, "regime_survival": 0.837209, "best_return": 1.358491, "worst_return": -0.411111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.081769, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": -0.07758, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.886792, "worst_return": -0.53913, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.135033, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.096707, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.415094, "worst_return": -0.728205, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.396592, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.383713, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.849057, "worst_return": -0.869136, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-07-21", "end": "2023-09-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.051282, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-09-08", "end": "2023-11-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-11-10", "end": "2023-12-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.762963, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.238095, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.071429, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.113924, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.318681, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.627119, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.153061, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.176471, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.085714, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.033333, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 5.7, "volume": 19653, "typical_volume": 26147.85, "trend": 5.478, "fair_value": 9.480385, "relative_strength": -1.367771, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.399087, "energy": 52.200661, "activity_lines": [ 6.27, 5.740909, 5.220714, 5.22529 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 5.7, "volume": 3951, "typical_volume": 25703.7, "trend": 5.423, "fair_value": 9.494808, "relative_strength": -1.113268, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.815471, "energy": 34.488163, "activity_lines": [ 6.08, 5.814545, 5.285714, 5.239613 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 6.15, "volume": 20627, "typical_volume": 24779.9, "trend": 5.383, "fair_value": 9.512115, "relative_strength": 3.30356, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.355101, "energy": 23.493911, "activity_lines": [ 6.05, 5.945455, 5.390714, 5.286516 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 6.0, "volume": 7080, "typical_volume": 24226.4, "trend": 5.363, "fair_value": 9.529423, "relative_strength": 3.491002, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.904914, "energy": 13.389427, "activity_lines": [ 5.96, 6.019091, 5.477857, 5.326323 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 5.55, "volume": 13173, "typical_volume": 24212.9, "trend": 5.318, "fair_value": 9.547692, "relative_strength": -6.561579, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.437629, "energy": 19.640924, "activity_lines": [ 5.82, 5.975455, 5.517857, 5.338387 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 5.4, "volume": 9543, "typical_volume": 23833.55, "trend": 5.253, "fair_value": 9.565962, "relative_strength": -4.887519, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.892657, "energy": 16.48668, "activity_lines": [ 5.68, 5.877273, 5.54, 5.343677 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 5.4, "volume": 9783, "typical_volume": 24078.9, "trend": 5.218, "fair_value": 9.580385, "relative_strength": -3.355983, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.337413, "energy": 17.259584, "activity_lines": [ 5.56, 5.765455, 5.559286, 5.353161 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 5.25, "volume": 7866, "typical_volume": 23931.4, "trend": 5.193, "fair_value": 9.594808, "relative_strength": -4.015458, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.759899, "energy": 16.386729, "activity_lines": [ 5.41, 5.634545, 5.560714, 5.355226 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 5.55, "volume": 29016, "typical_volume": 24661.85, "trend": 5.183, "fair_value": 9.613077, "relative_strength": 1.245291, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.502028, "energy": 11.833651, "activity_lines": [ 5.42, 5.571818, 5.587143, 5.378258 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 4.95, "volume": 23454, "typical_volume": 24890.35, "trend": 5.175, "fair_value": 9.626538, "relative_strength": -7.12963, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.718995, "energy": 9.916497, "activity_lines": [ 5.26, 5.435455, 5.551429, 5.363226 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 4.65, "volume": 15065, "typical_volume": 25090.9, "trend": 5.165, "fair_value": 9.637115, "relative_strength": -10.340498, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.106134, "energy": 23.014537, "activity_lines": [ 5.04, 5.269091, 5.483571, 5.329355 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 4.5, "volume": 10064, "typical_volume": 24852.95, "trend": 5.145, "fair_value": 9.640962, "relative_strength": -17.302554, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.711939, "energy": 47.710856, "activity_lines": [ 4.82, 5.094545, 5.4, 5.286452 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 4.5, "volume": 15830, "typical_volume": 25483.3, "trend": 5.115, "fair_value": 9.647692, "relative_strength": -16.045866, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.71941, "energy": 58.520059, "activity_lines": [ 4.66, 4.941818, 5.315714, 5.244839 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 4.65, "volume": 41729, "typical_volume": 27159.6, "trend": 5.1, "fair_value": 9.649615, "relative_strength": -14.93504, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.817123, "energy": 56.927411, "activity_lines": [ 4.6, 4.846364, 5.245714, 5.214839 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 4.35, "volume": 11188, "typical_volume": 26484.8, "trend": 5.085, "fair_value": 9.651538, "relative_strength": -19.64869, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.011189, "energy": 62.5272, "activity_lines": [ 4.5, 4.720909, 5.144286, 5.166452 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 4.35, "volume": 14221, "typical_volume": 26529.0, "trend": 5.07, "fair_value": 9.654423, "relative_strength": -20.56798, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.537215, "energy": 62.521911, "activity_lines": [ 4.44, 4.617273, 5.041429, 5.119032 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 4.2, "volume": 17324, "typical_volume": 21270.05, "trend": 5.055, "fair_value": 9.654423, "relative_strength": -22.365653, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.344294, "energy": 60.363011, "activity_lines": [ 4.35, 4.505455, 4.925714, 5.062903 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 4.2, "volume": 15037, "typical_volume": 21139.05, "trend": 5.045, "fair_value": 9.656346, "relative_strength": -22.530986, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.75334, "energy": 71.698217, "activity_lines": [ 4.28, 4.415455, 4.817857, 5.007742 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 4.05, "volume": 38897, "typical_volume": 17581.2, "trend": 5.03, "fair_value": 9.661154, "relative_strength": -26.194265, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.189192, "energy": 76.659743, "activity_lines": [ 4.18, 4.317273, 4.704286, 4.943548 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 4.2, "volume": 16010, "typical_volume": 16975.55, "trend": 5.03, "fair_value": 9.667885, "relative_strength": -23.434736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.438435, "energy": 67.298976, "activity_lines": [ 4.17, 4.273636, 4.621429, 4.89 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 4.29, "volume": 28407, "typical_volume": 17413.25, "trend": 5.028, "fair_value": 9.672308, "relative_strength": -21.325397, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.077928, "energy": 49.831264, "activity_lines": [ 4.2, 4.26, 4.557143, 4.842258 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 4.29, "volume": 17354, "typical_volume": 18083.4, "trend": 5.026, "fair_value": 9.67, "relative_strength": -21.168376, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.515055, "energy": 49.311069, "activity_lines": [ 4.234, 4.252909, 4.499571, 4.794645 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 4.2, "volume": 13073, "typical_volume": 17705.7, "trend": 5.016, "fair_value": 9.670962, "relative_strength": -22.15243, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.858177, "energy": 47.714151, "activity_lines": [ 4.232, 4.233273, 4.440143, 4.741355 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 4.2, "volume": 19770, "typical_volume": 18340.2, "trend": 5.021, "fair_value": 9.672885, "relative_strength": -22.05251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.395719, "energy": 43.249114, "activity_lines": [ 4.23, 4.219091, 4.39, 4.68871 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 3.9, "volume": 25264, "typical_volume": 18944.75, "trend": 5.016, "fair_value": 9.650769, "relative_strength": -26.545616, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.726195, "energy": 68.193895, "activity_lines": [ 4.118, 4.158545, 4.319857, 4.616387 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 3.6, "volume": 53011, "typical_volume": 21118.15, "trend": 4.981, "fair_value": 9.550769, "relative_strength": -31.169849, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.275045, "energy": 73.414449, "activity_lines": [ 3.926, 4.051636, 4.229, 4.525032 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 3.3, "volume": 55146, "typical_volume": 23386.3, "trend": 4.896, "fair_value": 9.452692, "relative_strength": -36.751163, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.962948, "energy": 83.352287, "activity_lines": [ 3.68, 3.903818, 4.118143, 4.416581 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 3.3, "volume": 25857, "typical_volume": 24285.85, "trend": 4.806, "fair_value": 9.327692, "relative_strength": -36.169481, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.712989, "energy": 89.787009, "activity_lines": [ 3.5, 3.772364, 4.017286, 4.313613 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 3.15, "volume": 44200, "typical_volume": 25045.05, "trend": 4.661, "fair_value": 9.161346, "relative_strength": -38.647162, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.207899, "energy": 85.792896, "activity_lines": [ 3.33, 3.63, 3.911429, 4.206774 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 3.0, "volume": 11783, "typical_volume": 24461.5, "trend": 4.551, "fair_value": 8.997885, "relative_strength": -41.28225, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.402498, "energy": 86.995477, "activity_lines": [ 3.18, 3.476727, 3.802714, 4.099613 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 3.15, "volume": 19700, "typical_volume": 24693.25, "trend": 4.466, "fair_value": 8.848846, "relative_strength": -37.860448, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.925571, "energy": 72.129702, "activity_lines": [ 3.14, 3.372545, 3.717571, 4.009226 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 3.0, "volume": 40900, "typical_volume": 26235.05, "trend": 4.376, "fair_value": 8.712308, "relative_strength": -40.543576, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.579666, "energy": 63.050476, "activity_lines": [ 3.08, 3.261818, 3.625286, 3.914645 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 2.85, "volume": 5866, "typical_volume": 25736.85, "trend": 4.266, "fair_value": 8.572885, "relative_strength": -43.424503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.157915, "energy": 62.40055, "activity_lines": [ 2.99, 3.147273, 3.525857, 3.816194 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 3.15, "volume": 44150, "typical_volume": 25857.9, "trend": 4.171, "fair_value": 8.445, "relative_strength": -37.152218, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.972781, "energy": 52.007501, "activity_lines": [ 3.03, 3.111818, 3.462857, 3.744194 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 2.7, "volume": 63087, "typical_volume": 28452.85, "trend": 4.076, "fair_value": 8.314231, "relative_strength": -44.575511, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.1051, "energy": 54.832602, "activity_lines": [ 2.92, 3.013636, 3.364143, 3.64929 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 2.7, "volume": 51850, "typical_volume": 30334.3, "trend": 3.986, "fair_value": 8.185385, "relative_strength": -43.743672, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.925138, "energy": 53.290703, "activity_lines": [ 2.83, 2.937273, 3.273286, 3.560516 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 2.55, "volume": 30316, "typical_volume": 30983.9, "trend": 3.891, "fair_value": 8.049808, "relative_strength": -46.717806, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.688487, "energy": 53.885687, "activity_lines": [ 2.72, 2.85, 3.176, 3.467871 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 2.55, "volume": 47753, "typical_volume": 32619.7, "trend": 3.801, "fair_value": 7.927692, "relative_strength": -46.105951, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.38485, "energy": 53.718461, "activity_lines": [ 2.64, 2.776364, 3.086571, 3.381355 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 2.55, "volume": 24106, "typical_volume": 31880.15, "trend": 3.701, "fair_value": 7.8325, "relative_strength": -46.437358, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.97277, "energy": 55.997611, "activity_lines": [ 2.58, 2.716364, 3.005, 3.300645 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 2.25, "volume": 27637, "typical_volume": 32461.5, "trend": 3.611, "fair_value": 7.725769, "relative_strength": -52.550851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.936502, "energy": 70.014882, "activity_lines": [ 2.46, 2.612727, 2.902, 3.207032 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 2.25, "volume": 20050, "typical_volume": 32043.65, "trend": 3.531, "fair_value": 7.613269, "relative_strength": -51.693103, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.525113, "energy": 63.751167, "activity_lines": [ 2.37, 2.522727, 2.808286, 3.119226 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 2.1, "volume": 11217, "typical_volume": 31736.8, "trend": 3.451, "fair_value": 7.497885, "relative_strength": -54.322732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.119943, "energy": 74.772333, "activity_lines": [ 2.26, 2.421818, 2.71, 3.026903 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 1.95, "volume": 12770, "typical_volume": 31721.65, "trend": 3.366, "fair_value": 7.379615, "relative_strength": -56.553846, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.210404, "energy": 78.740092, "activity_lines": [ 2.13, 2.31, 2.607857, 2.930065 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 1.95, "volume": 10479, "typical_volume": 31257.1, "trend": 3.276, "fair_value": 7.267115, "relative_strength": -55.276873, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.160461, "energy": 71.451912, "activity_lines": [ 2.04, 2.214545, 2.516429, 2.83871 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 1.95, "volume": 10033, "typical_volume": 30495.55, "trend": 3.196, "fair_value": 7.152692, "relative_strength": -54.488525, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.781336, "energy": 76.232856, "activity_lines": [ 1.99, 2.140909, 2.435714, 2.753161 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 1.95, "volume": 31837, "typical_volume": 29436.85, "trend": 3.116, "fair_value": 7.045962, "relative_strength": -54.665802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.184694, "energy": 62.740012, "activity_lines": [ 1.96, 2.080909, 2.364286, 2.672774 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 2.1, "volume": 8937, "typical_volume": 27126.4, "trend": 3.046, "fair_value": 6.930577, "relative_strength": -51.062187, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.704909, "energy": 54.408094, "activity_lines": [ 2.0, 2.061818, 2.315, 2.607226 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 1.95, "volume": 16989, "typical_volume": 26683.0, "trend": 2.971, "fair_value": 6.825769, "relative_strength": -55.153179, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.659824, "energy": 52.824238, "activity_lines": [ 1.99, 2.023636, 2.257143, 2.536516 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 1.8, "volume": 64364, "typical_volume": 27691.2, "trend": 2.896, "fair_value": 6.710385, "relative_strength": -57.763909, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.506006, "energy": 53.978982, "activity_lines": [ 1.93, 1.969091, 2.191429, 2.460968 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 1.65, "volume": 27350, "typical_volume": 28469.55, "trend": 2.811, "fair_value": 6.603654, "relative_strength": -60.607004, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.94317, "energy": 58.034481, "activity_lines": [ 1.83, 1.900909, 2.117857, 2.380581 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 1.5, "volume": 17707, "typical_volume": 28369.9, "trend": 2.718, "fair_value": 6.497885, "relative_strength": -62.03664, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.283308, "energy": 76.534712, "activity_lines": [ 1.7, 1.816364, 2.036429, 2.296 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 1.5, "volume": 25840, "typical_volume": 27616.9, "trend": 2.625, "fair_value": 6.394038, "relative_strength": -61.16452, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.03606, "energy": 79.660939, "activity_lines": [ 1.6, 1.745455, 1.962857, 2.217419 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 1.35, "volume": 22630, "typical_volume": 28455.1, "trend": 2.53, "fair_value": 6.289231, "relative_strength": -65.291805, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.673366, "energy": 85.07468, "activity_lines": [ 1.49, 1.658182, 1.882143, 2.135161 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 1.65, "volume": 12414, "typical_volume": 26868.3, "trend": 2.445, "fair_value": 6.174808, "relative_strength": -56.93791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.763977, "energy": 69.74318, "activity_lines": [ 1.52, 1.636364, 1.837143, 2.078387 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 1.18, "volume": 54013, "typical_volume": 26414.6, "trend": 2.354333, "fair_value": 6.063141, "relative_strength": -68.363476, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.918834, "energy": 65.098271, "activity_lines": [ 1.403333, 1.534545, 1.754524, 1.996774 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 1.08, "volume": 37100, "typical_volume": 25677.1, "trend": 2.270333, "fair_value": 5.94891, "relative_strength": -69.400411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.759436, "energy": 67.512818, "activity_lines": [ 1.284667, 1.428545, 1.669619, 1.914559 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 1.14, "volume": 25500, "typical_volume": 25436.3, "trend": 2.198333, "fair_value": 5.858141, "relative_strength": -67.899769, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.949184, "energy": 64.486689, "activity_lines": [ 1.214, 1.349273, 1.598143, 1.841634 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 1.15, "volume": 25900, "typical_volume": 24343.65, "trend": 2.126667, "fair_value": 5.767436, "relative_strength": -67.078852, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.387754, "energy": 72.169518, "activity_lines": [ 1.170667, 1.289273, 1.534333, 1.774 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 1.06, "volume": 38900, "typical_volume": 25083.35, "trend": 2.057, "fair_value": 5.678077, "relative_strength": -68.8176, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.428363, "energy": 80.711669, "activity_lines": [ 1.110667, 1.227455, 1.468619, 1.705183 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 1.01, "volume": 36300, "typical_volume": 25516.5, "trend": 1.990667, "fair_value": 5.593205, "relative_strength": -69.589793, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.753255, "energy": 75.513474, "activity_lines": [ 1.073333, 1.17, 1.405238, 1.637634 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 1.0, "volume": 59800, "typical_volume": 27504.0, "trend": 1.919, "fair_value": 5.507308, "relative_strength": -69.218259, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.870937, "energy": 70.313375, "activity_lines": [ 1.044, 1.122364, 1.34681, 1.57372 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 0.95, "volume": 54200, "typical_volume": 29653.15, "trend": 1.850667, "fair_value": 5.432628, "relative_strength": -70.21919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.032959, "energy": 70.487218, "activity_lines": [ 1.003333, 1.074727, 1.289571, 1.511204 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 0.9, "volume": 25700, "typical_volume": 30299.65, "trend": 1.785667, "fair_value": 5.363397, "relative_strength": -70.437718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.100907, "energy": 67.46259, "activity_lines": [ 0.958667, 1.028, 1.233048, 1.449871 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 0.88, "volume": 34400, "typical_volume": 31495.7, "trend": 1.71, "fair_value": 5.301731, "relative_strength": -69.960935, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.163379, "energy": 64.765247, "activity_lines": [ 0.924, 0.985818, 1.179619, 1.391441 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 0.67, "volume": 63200, "typical_volume": 34154.05, "trend": 1.642333, "fair_value": 5.244487, "relative_strength": -76.850931, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.650867, "energy": 77.208279, "activity_lines": [ 0.831333, 0.919455, 1.111286, 1.324344 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 0.63, "volume": 61900, "typical_volume": 35657.2, "trend": 1.573333, "fair_value": 5.190833, "relative_strength": -77.59146, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.000548, "energy": 84.469772, "activity_lines": [ 0.748, 0.855091, 1.045238, 1.259032 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 0.53, "volume": 165600, "typical_volume": 43490.35, "trend": 1.506, "fair_value": 5.139423, "relative_strength": -80.923383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.95776, "energy": 89.64587, "activity_lines": [ 0.656, 0.780727, 0.975952, 1.19172 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 0.55, "volume": 44100, "typical_volume": 44845.9, "trend": 1.439333, "fair_value": 5.091026, "relative_strength": -79.676203, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.511524, "energy": 91.532235, "activity_lines": [ 0.598667, 0.721091, 0.916048, 1.130043 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 0.53, "volume": 27100, "typical_volume": 42982.7, "trend": 1.372, "fair_value": 5.046346, "relative_strength": -79.762784, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.395091, "energy": 90.233965, "activity_lines": [ 0.558, 0.668727, 0.860905, 1.071376 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 0.53, "volume": 34700, "typical_volume": 43350.2, "trend": 1.314667, "fair_value": 5.001667, "relative_strength": -78.690323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.459034, "energy": 88.47755, "activity_lines": [ 0.540667, 0.626, 0.81181, 1.017054 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 0.53, "volume": 18900, "typical_volume": 43409.85, "trend": 1.257333, "fair_value": 4.955064, "relative_strength": -77.342367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.725994, "energy": 83.611128, "activity_lines": [ 0.532667, 0.592, 0.768048, 0.96643 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 0.5, "volume": 27500, "typical_volume": 43492.85, "trend": 1.204, "fair_value": 4.890962, "relative_strength": -77.992436, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.998261, "energy": 68.401315, "activity_lines": [ 0.521333, 0.561091, 0.726048, 0.91757 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 0.55, "volume": 69600, "typical_volume": 45841.35, "trend": 1.157333, "fair_value": 4.830064, "relative_strength": -75.103158, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.664548, "energy": 64.515037, "activity_lines": [ 0.528667, 0.547455, 0.693571, 0.875376 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 0.96, "volume": 136700, "typical_volume": 52055.65, "trend": 1.124333, "fair_value": 4.773718, "relative_strength": -54.357159, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.599304, "energy": 32.546856, "activity_lines": [ 0.672667, 0.614727, 0.703952, 0.862645 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 1.25, "volume": 147200, "typical_volume": 56715.0, "trend": 1.101, "fair_value": 4.727885, "relative_strength": -39.201526, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 7.191305, "energy": 25.330424, "activity_lines": [ 0.884667, 0.733273, 0.745238, 0.870753 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 1.14, "volume": 52800, "typical_volume": 57500.0, "trend": 1.074, "fair_value": 4.681346, "relative_strength": -43.378701, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 16.052132, "energy": 37.485949, "activity_lines": [ 1.012, 0.821273, 0.775714, 0.873269 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 1.16, "volume": 35100, "typical_volume": 57980.0, "trend": 1.042667, "fair_value": 4.63109, "relative_strength": -40.511891, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.594174, "energy": 49.346386, "activity_lines": [ 1.105333, 0.903636, 0.80781, 0.878817 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 1.21, "volume": 106000, "typical_volume": 61985.0, "trend": 1.018, "fair_value": 4.582115, "relative_strength": -35.724143, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.523068, "energy": 56.498415, "activity_lines": [ 1.171333, 0.983636, 0.844571, 0.889613 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 1.17, "volume": 82000, "typical_volume": 64140.0, "trend": 0.997, "fair_value": 4.539615, "relative_strength": -36.132197, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.833372, "energy": 65.082591, "activity_lines": [ 1.18, 1.044364, 0.877238, 0.899419 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 1.35, "volume": 64000, "typical_volume": 65525.0, "trend": 0.987, "fair_value": 4.500192, "relative_strength": -23.259477, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.491457, "energy": 67.862054, "activity_lines": [ 1.234667, 1.126182, 0.926524, 0.922194 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 1.21, "volume": 42700, "typical_volume": 64670.0, "trend": 0.977333, "fair_value": 4.457949, "relative_strength": -29.98962, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.805525, "energy": 43.282636, "activity_lines": [ 1.236, 1.167636, 0.960857, 0.936581 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 1.14, "volume": 107100, "typical_volume": 67315.0, "trend": 0.965333, "fair_value": 4.421026, "relative_strength": -30.54408, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.677375, "energy": 35.023553, "activity_lines": [ 1.209333, 1.184, 0.987524, 0.947075 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 0.96, "volume": 43900, "typical_volume": 68225.0, "trend": 0.952333, "fair_value": 4.380064, "relative_strength": -39.167332, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.369577, "energy": 20.777615, "activity_lines": [ 1.124, 1.156, 0.996143, 0.946731 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 1.0, "volume": 38800, "typical_volume": 68445.0, "trend": 0.930667, "fair_value": 4.330705, "relative_strength": -35.835137, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.57622, "energy": 20.954262, "activity_lines": [ 1.068667, 1.127818, 1.008286, 0.949806 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 1.05, "volume": 49000, "typical_volume": 67735.0, "trend": 0.926333, "fair_value": 4.277821, "relative_strength": -30.204577, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.595927, "energy": 21.408243, "activity_lines": [ 1.041333, 1.108, 1.024619, 0.957505 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 1.02, "volume": 86800, "typical_volume": 68980.0, "trend": 0.924333, "fair_value": 4.225705, "relative_strength": -25.31705, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.741543, "energy": 19.655408, "activity_lines": [ 1.024, 1.086364, 1.036286, 0.963548 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 0.97, "volume": 22900, "typical_volume": 61845.0, "trend": 0.918667, "fair_value": 4.178077, "relative_strength": -28.239657, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.663042, "energy": 17.423747, "activity_lines": [ 1.002667, 1.057818, 1.041333, 0.966495 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 1.05, "volume": 5900, "typical_volume": 59935.0, "trend": 0.915333, "fair_value": 4.138654, "relative_strength": -22.163485, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.623715, "energy": 11.734364, "activity_lines": [ 1.019333, 1.047273, 1.051905, 0.974968 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 1.0, "volume": 71400, "typical_volume": 62150.0, "trend": 0.913333, "fair_value": 4.09891, "relative_strength": -25.479981, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.441223, "energy": 11.233322, "activity_lines": [ 1.013333, 1.030545, 1.055333, 0.98043 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 0.95, "volume": 32100, "typical_volume": 62020.0, "trend": 0.911333, "fair_value": 4.051154, "relative_strength": -28.122502, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.890017, "energy": 9.241622, "activity_lines": [ 0.990667, 1.007818, 1.051762, 0.982796 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 0.85, "volume": 20100, "typical_volume": 62080.0, "trend": 0.906333, "fair_value": 4.009487, "relative_strength": -34.591377, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.224212, "energy": 14.579533, "activity_lines": [ 0.941333, 0.974182, 1.036667, 0.978839 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 0.8, "volume": 17800, "typical_volume": 61595.0, "trend": 0.901333, "fair_value": 3.965577, "relative_strength": -38.288793, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.682111, "energy": 35.857963, "activity_lines": [ 0.886667, 0.938, 1.015286, 0.971978 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 0.84, "volume": 6300, "typical_volume": 58430.0, "trend": 0.899333, "fair_value": 3.919038, "relative_strength": -33.214557, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.842183, "energy": 40.75539, "activity_lines": [ 0.856667, 0.915273, 0.996286, 0.968022 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 0.82, "volume": 13100, "typical_volume": 52250.0, "trend": 0.897333, "fair_value": 3.866603, "relative_strength": -33.8924, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.184996, "energy": 46.765109, "activity_lines": [ 0.834, 0.891091, 0.974, 0.962903 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 0.72, "volume": 20700, "typical_volume": 45925.0, "trend": 0.899, "fair_value": 3.81641, "relative_strength": -41.043993, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.806219, "energy": 59.438915, "activity_lines": [ 0.79, 0.852, 0.942857, 0.951462 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 0.77, "volume": 14300, "typical_volume": 44000.0, "trend": 0.903667, "fair_value": 3.771346, "relative_strength": -35.489568, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.225719, "energy": 54.52443, "activity_lines": [ 0.778, 0.828, 0.919, 0.94314 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 0.75, "volume": 22400, "typical_volume": 43365.0, "trend": 0.911, "fair_value": 3.728077, "relative_strength": -35.435173, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.328634, "energy": 49.39085, "activity_lines": [ 0.764667, 0.804909, 0.895, 0.933226 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 0.71, "volume": 26600, "typical_volume": 39395.0, "trend": 0.916333, "fair_value": 3.688397, "relative_strength": -37.612908, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.748499, "energy": 56.151729, "activity_lines": [ 0.741333, 0.778545, 0.869143, 0.920258 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 0.78, "volume": 19900, "typical_volume": 36290.0, "trend": 0.924667, "fair_value": 3.647244, "relative_strength": -30.283796, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.858946, "energy": 60.49373, "activity_lines": [ 0.75, 0.771091, 0.852333, 0.911462 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 0.79, "volume": 42700, "typical_volume": 35225.0, "trend": 0.933333, "fair_value": 3.608077, "relative_strength": -27.401601, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.675946, "energy": 46.643789, "activity_lines": [ 0.764667, 0.769455, 0.838333, 0.902774 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 0.73, "volume": 28200, "typical_volume": 34500.0, "trend": 0.94, "fair_value": 3.568526, "relative_strength": -31.919099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.929629, "energy": 47.253059, "activity_lines": [ 0.754667, 0.759818, 0.821286, 0.889656 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 0.7, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 30145.0, "trend": 0.946667, "fair_value": 3.526859, "relative_strength": -33.62148, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.902231, "energy": 49.893373, "activity_lines": [ 0.737333, 0.746909, 0.803667, 0.874172 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 0.69, "volume": 48100, "typical_volume": 30355.0, "trend": 0.951333, "fair_value": 3.483205, "relative_strength": -31.991612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.921011, "energy": 47.329112, "activity_lines": [ 0.72, 0.734, 0.78719, 0.857613 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 0.67, "volume": 8900, "typical_volume": 28860.0, "trend": 0.941667, "fair_value": 3.443269, "relative_strength": -34.268515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.216348, "energy": 59.383845, "activity_lines": [ 0.697333, 0.720182, 0.770095, 0.839462 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 0.87, "volume": 134500, "typical_volume": 33135.0, "trend": 0.929, "fair_value": 3.403654, "relative_strength": -13.861014, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.530117, "energy": 27.697663, "activity_lines": [ 0.748667, 0.745455, 0.773619, 0.834839 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 0.88, "volume": 158000, "typical_volume": 36695.0, "trend": 0.920333, "fair_value": 3.366026, "relative_strength": -12.331995, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.419777, "energy": 13.323834, "activity_lines": [ 0.798, 0.769818, 0.778952, 0.831677 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 0.91, "volume": 30600, "typical_volume": 37080.0, "trend": 0.912, "fair_value": 3.329551, "relative_strength": -9.156303, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.36869, "energy": 12.706451, "activity_lines": [ 0.847333, 0.797636, 0.78781, 0.831011 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 0.85, "volume": 16100, "typical_volume": 37590.0, "trend": 0.9, "fair_value": 3.290769, "relative_strength": -15.727183, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.043498, "energy": 19.670638, "activity_lines": [ 0.862667, 0.811636, 0.791238, 0.827011 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 0.83, "volume": 32000, "typical_volume": 35620.0, "trend": 0.888667, "fair_value": 3.257628, "relative_strength": -17.449734, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.400119, "energy": 16.626939, "activity_lines": [ 0.860667, 0.819455, 0.793714, 0.822495 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 0.82, "volume": 10200, "typical_volume": 34525.0, "trend": 0.871, "fair_value": 3.224423, "relative_strength": -18.833784, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.861679, "energy": 12.436067, "activity_lines": [ 0.844667, 0.824545, 0.796048, 0.818065 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 0.8, "volume": 14800, "typical_volume": 34260.0, "trend": 0.857333, "fair_value": 3.190128, "relative_strength": -20.007408, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.313994, "energy": 9.780953, "activity_lines": [ 0.825333, 0.825455, 0.797095, 0.813484 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 0.82, "volume": 15900, "typical_volume": 34165.0, "trend": 0.846667, "fair_value": 3.152115, "relative_strength": -19.23088, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.064447, "energy": 12.705419, "activity_lines": [ 0.818, 0.828727, 0.800286, 0.811075 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 0.88, "volume": 52200, "typical_volume": 36460.0, "trend": 0.844, "fair_value": 3.108718, "relative_strength": -10.933041, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.124349, "energy": 7.402618, "activity_lines": [ 0.836667, 0.840727, 0.809095, 0.813226 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 0.69, "volume": 39700, "typical_volume": 37790.0, "trend": 0.833667, "fair_value": 3.064103, "relative_strength": -30.137647, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.896659, "energy": 21.503406, "activity_lines": [ 0.79, 0.814727, 0.799619, 0.80329 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 0.61, "volume": 63300, "typical_volume": 39920.0, "trend": 0.819, "fair_value": 3.023782, "relative_strength": -38.129889, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.663162, "energy": 43.713495, "activity_lines": [ 0.726, 0.773818, 0.783143, 0.78886 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 0.62, "volume": 120100, "typical_volume": 45210.0, "trend": 0.805667, "fair_value": 2.984487, "relative_strength": -36.328301, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.0374, "energy": 57.862114, "activity_lines": [ 0.679333, 0.739455, 0.768143, 0.776022 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 0.59, "volume": 21500, "typical_volume": 45165.0, "trend": 0.793, "fair_value": 2.946923, "relative_strength": -38.433339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.242054, "energy": 68.200369, "activity_lines": [ 0.634667, 0.704364, 0.751, 0.762108 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 0.66, "volume": 23200, "typical_volume": 44995.0, "trend": 0.78, "fair_value": 2.909808, "relative_strength": -31.924731, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.286734, "energy": 67.397747, "activity_lines": [ 0.628667, 0.687818, 0.741286, 0.753527 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 0.74, "volume": 98000, "typical_volume": 48900.0, "trend": 0.771333, "fair_value": 2.875128, "relative_strength": -23.424281, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.874392, "energy": 55.576001, "activity_lines": [ 0.664, 0.689273, 0.739429, 0.750946 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 0.8, "volume": 29500, "typical_volume": 48240.0, "trend": 0.766333, "fair_value": 2.841795, "relative_strength": -20.632025, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.729567, "energy": 17.792175, "activity_lines": [ 0.716, 0.703273, 0.743476, 0.752796 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 0.75, "volume": 139900, "typical_volume": 53825.0, "trend": 0.763, "fair_value": 2.809103, "relative_strength": -25.570972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.284149, "energy": 20.461279, "activity_lines": [ 0.738667, 0.708545, 0.742714, 0.751742 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 0.96, "volume": 49100, "typical_volume": 55280.0, "trend": 0.768333, "fair_value": 2.776795, "relative_strength": -5.916507, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.267032, "energy": 30.669947, "activity_lines": [ 0.822667, 0.752909, 0.761857, 0.764452 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 0.98, "volume": 195200, "typical_volume": 62635.0, "trend": 0.773, "fair_value": 2.750385, "relative_strength": -5.172101, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.247653, "energy": 52.590842, "activity_lines": [ 0.888667, 0.798364, 0.781667, 0.778108 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 0.95, "volume": 22000, "typical_volume": 63290.0, "trend": 0.777333, "fair_value": 2.724744, "relative_strength": -9.28643, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.221426, "energy": 64.314107, "activity_lines": [ 0.923333, 0.836545, 0.797238, 0.789527 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 0.91, "volume": 64000, "typical_volume": 59765.0, "trend": 0.783667, "fair_value": 2.695962, "relative_strength": -13.12594, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.439335, "energy": 65.30393, "activity_lines": [ 0.930667, 0.862727, 0.807667, 0.798086 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 0.96, "volume": 18000, "typical_volume": 52765.0, "trend": 0.79, "fair_value": 2.6675, "relative_strength": -9.91097, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.256658, "energy": 61.598757, "activity_lines": [ 0.947333, 0.892545, 0.822667, 0.809462 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 0.95, "volume": 41600, "typical_volume": 53315.0, "trend": 0.796667, "fair_value": 2.638974, "relative_strength": -10.896259, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.710641, "energy": 48.594418, "activity_lines": [ 0.946667, 0.914364, 0.836333, 0.819785 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 0.91, "volume": 67600, "typical_volume": 55890.0, "trend": 0.803333, "fair_value": 2.597692, "relative_strength": -14.030165, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.27218, "energy": 36.991593, "activity_lines": [ 0.933333, 0.922364, 0.846, 0.827097 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 0.9, "volume": 96800, "typical_volume": 59130.0, "trend": 0.807333, "fair_value": 2.556346, "relative_strength": -10.795537, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.458743, "energy": 28.463527, "activity_lines": [ 0.921333, 0.924, 0.854429, 0.833333 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 0.86, "volume": 32900, "typical_volume": 60265.0, "trend": 0.809667, "fair_value": 2.519551, "relative_strength": -15.108934, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.904506, "energy": 20.526359, "activity_lines": [ 0.899333, 0.915455, 0.858714, 0.836731 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 0.88, "volume": 16400, "typical_volume": 60345.0, "trend": 0.814667, "fair_value": 2.480962, "relative_strength": -13.690611, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.971492, "energy": 17.455387, "activity_lines": [ 0.887333, 0.909455, 0.864714, 0.841269 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 0.83, "volume": 12900, "typical_volume": 60195.0, "trend": 0.819, "fair_value": 2.439167, "relative_strength": -18.910957, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.240825, "energy": 16.033001, "activity_lines": [ 0.864, 0.892, 0.865571, 0.842258 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 0.85, "volume": 43900, "typical_volume": 59780.0, "trend": 0.824333, "fair_value": 2.403269, "relative_strength": -17.013233, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.938827, "energy": 16.134895, "activity_lines": [ 0.855333, 0.880545, 0.868286, 0.844258 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 0.79, "volume": 33700, "typical_volume": 59480.0, "trend": 0.828333, "fair_value": 2.369872, "relative_strength": -18.781584, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.064627, "energy": 10.288017, "activity_lines": [ 0.830667, 0.860545, 0.865429, 0.842043 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 0.7, "volume": 81100, "typical_volume": 60370.0, "trend": 0.822667, "fair_value": 2.336859, "relative_strength": -25.984668, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.655413, "energy": 31.709421, "activity_lines": [ 0.783333, 0.827091, 0.853524, 0.833763 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 0.7, "volume": 16500, "typical_volume": 55190.0, "trend": 0.816667, "fair_value": 2.308077, "relative_strength": -22.179314, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.249741, "energy": 49.488238, "activity_lines": [ 0.746667, 0.797455, 0.84119, 0.825849 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 0.71, "volume": 35600, "typical_volume": 55895.0, "trend": 0.81, "fair_value": 2.280897, "relative_strength": -21.596263, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.288067, "energy": 55.710621, "activity_lines": [ 0.725333, 0.774364, 0.829429, 0.818968 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 0.68, "volume": 3300, "typical_volume": 54900.0, "trend": 0.804333, "fair_value": 2.252564, "relative_strength": -26.339848, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.905929, "energy": 60.202063, "activity_lines": [ 0.702, 0.750182, 0.814238, 0.810581 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 0.68, "volume": 18400, "typical_volume": 50920.0, "trend": 0.799333, "fair_value": 2.222308, "relative_strength": -26.563663, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.539203, "energy": 61.321334, "activity_lines": [ 0.69, 0.730182, 0.798952, 0.802559 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 0.64, "volume": 38500, "typical_volume": 51370.0, "trend": 0.793333, "fair_value": 2.193718, "relative_strength": -30.99648, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.215297, "energy": 75.962209, "activity_lines": [ 0.672, 0.706909, 0.780143, 0.79228 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 0.6, "volume": 26000, "typical_volume": 45675.0, "trend": 0.786667, "fair_value": 2.166795, "relative_strength": -33.385189, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.458817, "energy": 82.952345, "activity_lines": [ 0.644667, 0.680364, 0.758286, 0.779806 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 0.5, "volume": 60900, "typical_volume": 46265.0, "trend": 0.776, "fair_value": 2.139231, "relative_strength": -43.517997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.575251, "energy": 94.413789, "activity_lines": [ 0.590667, 0.640727, 0.727619, 0.761312 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 0.6, "volume": 118800, "typical_volume": 42445.0, "trend": 0.766667, "fair_value": 2.113269, "relative_strength": -31.793604, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.70534, "energy": 82.721567, "activity_lines": [ 0.584, 0.625273, 0.708667, 0.749957 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 0.61, "volume": 26200, "typical_volume": 42655.0, "trend": 0.764, "fair_value": 2.088333, "relative_strength": -29.484925, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.878924, "energy": 76.877553, "activity_lines": [ 0.586, 0.616182, 0.692476, 0.739849 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 0.56, "volume": 23200, "typical_volume": 40615.0, "trend": 0.762333, "fair_value": 2.063077, "relative_strength": -35.67866, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.18266, "energy": 66.714091, "activity_lines": [ 0.576, 0.601273, 0.673143, 0.726688 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 0.65, "volume": 70600, "typical_volume": 43245.0, "trend": 0.763333, "fair_value": 2.040321, "relative_strength": -25.26166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.030521, "energy": 42.126249, "activity_lines": [ 0.601333, 0.605273, 0.664048, 0.719441 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 0.6, "volume": 3000, "typical_volume": 41315.0, "trend": 0.763667, "fair_value": 2.016282, "relative_strength": -29.768318, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.983598, "energy": 36.305357, "activity_lines": [ 0.606667, 0.601091, 0.651667, 0.708903 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 0.64, "volume": 7000, "typical_volume": 38285.0, "trend": 0.763, "fair_value": 1.9925, "relative_strength": -25.591933, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.475986, "energy": 32.429381, "activity_lines": [ 0.618667, 0.606182, 0.644762, 0.700925 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.58, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 33545.0, "trend": 0.757667, "fair_value": 1.967372, "relative_strength": -32.005062, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.492085, "energy": 32.6413, "activity_lines": [ 0.608, 0.601091, 0.633429, 0.689118 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.6, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 31925.0, "trend": 0.751, "fair_value": 1.945256, "relative_strength": -29.155115, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.411151, "energy": 33.589526, "activity_lines": [ 0.606, 0.601455, 0.625524, 0.678946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.59, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 31105.0, "trend": 0.745667, "fair_value": 1.923077, "relative_strength": -30.193512, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.59255, "energy": 37.643378, "activity_lines": [ 0.598, 0.600727, 0.617905, 0.668559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.55, "volume": 46300, "typical_volume": 32775.0, "trend": 0.732, "fair_value": 1.896795, "relative_strength": -34.313688, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.359972, "energy": 44.814818, "activity_lines": [ 0.580667, 0.592909, 0.607857, 0.655935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.54, "volume": 64000, "typical_volume": 33780.0, "trend": 0.717333, "fair_value": 1.862756, "relative_strength": -34.829143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.399411, "energy": 43.513385, "activity_lines": [ 0.563333, 0.582364, 0.59819, 0.643548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.58, "volume": 18100, "typical_volume": 33000.0, "trend": 0.705, "fair_value": 1.828013, "relative_strength": -29.688442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.266407, "energy": 38.760555, "activity_lines": [ 0.566, 0.580182, 0.59381, 0.634688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.58, "volume": 33000, "typical_volume": 30595.0, "trend": 0.694, "fair_value": 1.783654, "relative_strength": -28.870989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.852278, "energy": 36.283546, "activity_lines": [ 0.568667, 0.578545, 0.590429, 0.626624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.58, "volume": 17900, "typical_volume": 30665.0, "trend": 0.681333, "fair_value": 1.746987, "relative_strength": -30.657271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.067514, "energy": 32.46535, "activity_lines": [ 0.572667, 0.576545, 0.587619, 0.619269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }