{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21d92adf-e15a-44a7-b6b3-0f9bda614632", "symbol": "8924", "name": "O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -82.021, "architecture_energy": 89.641, "architecture_maturity": 50.468, "architecture_confidence": 84.672, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.94, "rotation_up": 10.76, "upward_expansion": 21.25, "deceleration": 37.31, "rotation_down": 82.85, "downward_expansion": 99.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.9, 54.6, 56.608381, 58.40152 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 51.400002, "trend_reference": 60.89, "distance_from_trend": -0.155855, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 67.297499, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.236227, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.319617, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.224346, "excess_performance": -0.665718, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.155855, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061411, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.236227, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102256, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.423196, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074821, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.224346, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.586439, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 358501, "relative_activity": 0.556512, "balance": 0.586439, "dry_up": 0.796494, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048987, "annualized_volatility": 0.206849, "from_high_reference": -0.27917, "from_low_reference": 0.007843 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.89, "fair_value_reference": 67.297499, "structural_low": 51.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.016736, "positive_rate": 0.457143, "directional_follow_through": 0.542857, "median_excess_return": -0.012732, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.289967, "worst_return": -0.194631, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.065693, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.035369, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.317844, "worst_return": -0.176895, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.017754, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.097995, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.205916, "worst_return": -0.244284, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-59.246594, "energy": 40.833019, "activity_lines": [ 57.06, 57.204, 58.762444, 60.286208 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.599998, "volume": 679690, "typical_volume": 627449.7, "trend": 61.921333, "fair_value": 67.609966, "relative_strength": -37.322686, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.456627, "energy": 56.054769, "activity_lines": [ 55.853333, 56.467272, 58.129428, 59.719498 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.5, "volume": 647075, "typical_volume": 640318.45, "trend": 61.407333, "fair_value": 67.448712, "relative_strength": -40.793838, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.391472, "energy": 83.421854, "activity_lines": [ 54.106666, 55.463636, 57.34473, 59.047154 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 51.400002, "volume": 358501, "typical_volume": 644192.4, "trend": 60.89, "fair_value": 67.297499, "relative_strength": -42.319617, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.021026, "energy": 89.641325, "activity_lines": [ 52.9, 54.6, 56.608381, 58.40152 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }