{ "ticker": { "uuid": "21dd8bff-3cf2-477b-be71-544eb5bb229e", "symbol": "CMPSN", "name": "COMPASS PATHWAYS PLC", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.356, "architecture_energy": 84.398, "architecture_maturity": 65.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.2, "rotation_up": 45.53, "upward_expansion": 75.31, "deceleration": 50.06, "rotation_down": 30.0, "downward_expansion": 21.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 242.0, 242.0, 217.802143, 193.871656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 242.0, "trend_reference": 166.498334, "distance_from_trend": 0.453468, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 119.656181, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.022461, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 72.1546, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.283019, "excess_performance": 1.337686, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.453468, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.363269, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.022461, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.587461, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.721546, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.469871, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.283019, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031151, "annualized_volatility": 0.888208, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 1.805797 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 166.498334, "fair_value_reference": 119.656181, "structural_low": 94.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.006027, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 92.980003, "volume": 20, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 92.980003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 92.980003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, 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"typical_volume": 149.85, "trend": 149.698334, "fair_value": 113.898825, "relative_strength": 86.996732, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.285123, "energy": 87.120258, "activity_lines": [ 242.0, 228.836364, 191.540333, 171.677678 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 242.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 149.85, "trend": 153.898334, "fair_value": 115.388374, "relative_strength": 83.029115, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.881883, "energy": 67.813629, "activity_lines": [ 242.0, 234.745455, 198.867095, 177.632624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 242.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 149.85, "trend": 158.098334, "fair_value": 116.84368, "relative_strength": 80.187462, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.621727, "energy": 87.00909, "activity_lines": [ 242.0, 238.909091, 205.701, 183.316602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 242.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 147.35, "trend": 162.298334, "fair_value": 118.265911, "relative_strength": 75.393799, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.270832, "energy": 86.865632, "activity_lines": [ 242.0, 241.327273, 212.042048, 188.729613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 242.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 143.35, "trend": 166.498334, "fair_value": 119.656181, "relative_strength": 72.1546, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.355747, "energy": 84.398054, "activity_lines": [ 242.0, 242.0, 217.802143, 193.871656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }