{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22016130-8154-4ff4-bb5a-0c91b05b6565", "symbol": "WILC", "name": "G Willi-Food International Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 69.61, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.751, "architecture_energy": 27.668, "architecture_maturity": 37.22, "architecture_confidence": 59.006, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.78, "rotation_up": 14.78, "upward_expansion": 16.13, "deceleration": 60.77, "rotation_down": 61.68, "downward_expansion": 43.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.036667, 30.391273, 31.730645, 30.9894 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 28.99, "trend_reference": 30.080946, "distance_from_trend": -0.036267, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.727043, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.733122, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.05758, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.027319, "excess_performance": -0.214772, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036267, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067048, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.733122, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.673469, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050576, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.354599, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027319, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.394909, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47785, "relative_activity": 2.153632, "balance": 0.394909, "dry_up": 2.613281, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127231, "annualized_volatility": 0.457636, "from_high_reference": -0.236904, "from_low_reference": 0.671624 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.080946, "fair_value_reference": 16.727043, "structural_low": 23.381823, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.071364, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.052675, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.237453, "worst_return": -0.195437, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.339372, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.14637, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.53187, "worst_return": 0.078448, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.294763, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.184698, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.306165, "worst_return": 0.28336, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"trend": 29.960927, "fair_value": 16.265879, "relative_strength": 4.167304, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.799093, "energy": 22.604838, "activity_lines": [ 32.447, 33.396909, 32.42979, 31.218071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 30.79, "volume": 31003, "typical_volume": 14082.6, "trend": 30.071038, "fair_value": 16.38968, "relative_strength": 5.576644, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.863797, "energy": 17.05343, "activity_lines": [ 31.786667, 32.779364, 32.440215, 31.271559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.09, "volume": 133269, "typical_volume": 19901.7, "trend": 30.11428, "fair_value": 16.511228, "relative_strength": 4.434167, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.497219, "energy": 10.97732, "activity_lines": [ 31.139667, 32.129273, 32.355383, 31.272783 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.8, "volume": 19878, "typical_volume": 20202.8, "trend": 30.068151, "fair_value": 16.611056, "relative_strength": -7.578656, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.708913, "energy": 29.331532, "activity_lines": [ 29.542667, 30.975727, 31.942483, 31.058958 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.99, "volume": 47785, "typical_volume": 22188.1, "trend": 30.080946, "fair_value": 16.727043, "relative_strength": -5.05758, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.750603, "energy": 27.667704, "activity_lines": [ 29.036667, 30.391273, 31.730645, 30.9894 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }