{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2214f4ed-1ca3-4535-9754-8d53e599e9bf", "symbol": "REDS", "name": "Redsense Medical AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.779, "architecture_energy": 22.517, "architecture_maturity": 33.257, "architecture_confidence": 75.803, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.06, "rotation_up": 31.8, "upward_expansion": 61.96, "deceleration": 85.83, "rotation_down": 24.94, "downward_expansion": 14.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.112, 4.186, 3.967143, 3.792258 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.99, "trend_reference": 3.721, "distance_from_trend": 0.072292, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.056282, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.34118, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.690388, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.022059, "excess_performance": -0.083553, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072292, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019452, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.34118, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.234089, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.126904, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.323848, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.022059, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.400549, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21935, "relative_activity": 0.659025, "balance": 1.400549, "dry_up": 0.82765, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.141893, "annualized_volatility": 0.699636, "from_high_reference": -0.312069, "from_low_reference": 0.6625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.721, "fair_value_reference": 6.056282, "structural_low": 2.4, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.02027, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.007195, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.02027, "worst_return": -0.02027, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.050676, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.135283, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.050676, "worst_return": -0.050676, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.248311, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.336952, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.248311, "worst_return": -0.248311, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"2024-06-28", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.008571, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.186047, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.132075, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.030405, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.291667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.188725, "active": false }, { "regime": 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48.313506, "activity_lines": [ 4.28, 4.08, 3.667762, 3.643849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.3, "volume": 34539, "typical_volume": 41086.5, "trend": 3.704, "fair_value": 6.17609, "relative_strength": -6.716401, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.374745, "energy": 35.059, "activity_lines": [ 4.260667, 4.174, 3.748571, 3.683441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.37, "volume": 24126, "typical_volume": 39026.1, "trend": 3.725667, "fair_value": 6.146538, "relative_strength": -2.97396, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.364442, "energy": 40.770342, "activity_lines": [ 4.290667, 4.256727, 3.832286, 3.726409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.15, "volume": 18556, "typical_volume": 35311.4, "trend": 3.730667, "fair_value": 6.116218, "relative_strength": -8.135015, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.232545, "energy": 33.637414, "activity_lines": [ 4.246667, 4.27, 3.89, 3.753785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.06, "volume": 45573, "typical_volume": 34721.9, "trend": 3.723, "fair_value": 6.085833, "relative_strength": -10.312111, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.060033, "energy": 28.036498, "activity_lines": [ 4.191333, 4.238727, 3.934143, 3.775032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.99, "volume": 21935, "typical_volume": 33284.0, "trend": 3.721, "fair_value": 6.056282, "relative_strength": -12.690388, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.77861, "energy": 22.517092, "activity_lines": [ 4.112, 4.186, 3.967143, 3.792258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }