{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2226c0ca-d44e-436d-a666-8b10b2aa5212", "symbol": "688661", "name": "Suzhou UIGreen Micro&Nano Technologies Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 88.967, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.064, "architecture_energy": 32.566, "architecture_maturity": 55.957, "architecture_confidence": 49.28, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.14, "rotation_up": 16.74, "upward_expansion": 18.52, "deceleration": 69.88, "rotation_down": 63.67, "downward_expansion": 41.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.098, 115.876363, 119.539887, 114.178015 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 108.57, "trend_reference": 106.079857, "distance_from_trend": 0.023474, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.9353, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.363542, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 35.222481, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.233193, "excess_performance": 0.276397, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023474, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.315168, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.363542, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.867821, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.352225, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.650571, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.233193, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.75936, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38492118, "relative_activity": 1.557808, "balance": 0.75936, "dry_up": 1.085273, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.257128, "annualized_volatility": 1.016274, "from_high_reference": -0.38661, "from_low_reference": 1.751185 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 106.079857, "fair_value_reference": 45.9353, "structural_low": 67.550003, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.114882, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.139881, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.630604, "worst_return": 0.077867, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.32389, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.324852, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.342138, "worst_return": -0.286342, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.013541, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.048062, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.307976, "worst_return": -0.280894, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 101.944977, "fair_value": 44.982785, "relative_strength": 31.155942, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.708042, "energy": 24.97801, "activity_lines": [ 134.952, 135.595805, 125.613011, 116.100583 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.699997, "volume": 23001645, "typical_volume": 23892644.45, "trend": 103.219817, "fair_value": 45.276009, "relative_strength": 18.290126, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.648899, "energy": 12.312137, "activity_lines": [ 116.974666, 127.763197, 123.224148, 115.310584 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 81.279999, "volume": 27521403, "typical_volume": 24045942.35, "trend": 104.18501, "fair_value": 45.510047, "relative_strength": 5.657451, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.699198, "energy": 36.439519, "activity_lines": [ 100.757333, 118.960363, 120.05593, 113.895112 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 108.57, "volume": 38492118, "typical_volume": 24709155.7, "trend": 106.079857, "fair_value": 45.9353, "relative_strength": 35.222481, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.063638, "energy": 32.565849, "activity_lines": [ 98.098, 115.876363, 119.539887, 114.178015 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }