{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "22353a76-2f23-4c94-a175-b46f72ad0986",
    "symbol": "TW",
    "name": "Tradeweb Markets Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -38.413,
    "architecture_energy": 24.368,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.475,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.091,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.77,
        "rotation_up": 25.72,
        "upward_expansion": 14.81,
        "deceleration": 45.08,
        "rotation_down": 29.15,
        "downward_expansion": 60.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        100.816667,
        100.131091,
        102.598787,
        106.259941
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 102.62,
    "trend_reference": 109.381001,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.061811,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 113.098741,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092651,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -19.033467,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.08249,
    "excess_performance": -0.269944,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061811,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020256,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.092651,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074722,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.190335,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061474,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08249,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.062499,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7995665,
      "relative_activity": 1.002155,
      "balance": 1.062499,
      "dry_up": 1.11095,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075505,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.276371,
      "from_high_reference": -0.247153,
      "from_low_reference": 0.122511
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 109.381001,
      "fair_value_reference": 113.098741,
      "structural_low": 91.42,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.005798,
        "positive_rate": 0.4375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003359,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
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        "worst_return": -0.153234,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.2,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.24967,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 7646427.5,
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        "fair_value": 112.720179,
        "relative_strength": -20.600424,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.2671,
        "energy": 44.295691,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 99.83,
        "volume": 4734227,
        "typical_volume": 7526935.7,
        "trend": 109.594613,
        "fair_value": 112.836375,
        "relative_strength": -18.508813,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.856617,
        "energy": 36.571369,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 100.5,
        "volume": 14888827,
        "typical_volume": 7900725.75,
        "trend": 109.413572,
        "fair_value": 112.958324,
        "relative_strength": -17.51444,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.204334,
        "energy": 31.162245,
        "activity_lines": [
          100.002,
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          103.071776,
          106.698236
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 102.62,
        "volume": 7995665,
        "typical_volume": 7978474.4,
        "trend": 109.381001,
        "fair_value": 113.098741,
        "relative_strength": -19.033467,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.412582,
        "energy": 24.368478,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}