{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "22391ffe-6d3f-46f5-ab43-1065358730a7",
    "symbol": "VCP",
    "name": "Victoria PLC",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.841,
    "architecture_energy": 62.534,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.029,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.079,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.86,
        "rotation_up": 63.25,
        "upward_expansion": 84.83,
        "deceleration": 65.86,
        "rotation_down": 19.52,
        "downward_expansion": 11.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.643367,
        0.616318,
        0.530586,
        0.468841
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.6015,
    "trend_reference": 0.397833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.51194,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.458587,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.587614,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.580784,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.231911,
    "excess_performance": 1.180676,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.51194,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179231,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.587614,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.247609,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205808,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.630917,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.231911,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.623629,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 371536,
      "relative_activity": 0.245403,
      "balance": 1.623629,
      "dry_up": 0.550808,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.137657,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.023136,
      "from_high_reference": -0.35253,
      "from_low_reference": 2.087782
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.397833,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.458587,
      "structural_low": 0.1948,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.022831,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01337,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.41649,
        "worst_return": -0.193103,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.144516,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.444444,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.251336,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.267234,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.613389,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.578082,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1476293.15,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 82.10957,
        "energy": 92.946101,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1529651.65,
        "trend": 0.382283,
        "fair_value": 1.535564,
        "relative_strength": 30.814074,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.035268,
        "energy": 89.471193,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.65,
        "volume": 766419,
        "typical_volume": 1528393.65,
        "trend": 0.390533,
        "fair_value": 1.497295,
        "relative_strength": 28.338373,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.861099,
        "energy": 83.513738,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.659933,
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          0.515957,
          0.45523
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.6015,
        "volume": 371536,
        "typical_volume": 1513981.75,
        "trend": 0.397833,
        "fair_value": 1.458587,
        "relative_strength": 20.580784,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.841276,
        "energy": 62.533863,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}