{ "ticker": { "uuid": "223c5b97-4e78-4840-9aa4-89d8d8162e4e", "symbol": "I1XC34", "name": "ORIX Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.762, "architecture_energy": 66.108, "architecture_maturity": 87.451, "architecture_confidence": 86.533, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.71, "rotation_up": 55.34, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.63, "rotation_down": 29.34, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.126666, 24.918363, 23.953785, 23.034229 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.32, "trend_reference": 22.018456, "distance_from_trend": 0.149944, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.593617, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.623741, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 21.684838, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.281363, "excess_performance": 0.338411, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.149944, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106532, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.623741, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.310299, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.216848, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.301969, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.281363, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 120.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2, "relative_activity": 0.013643, "balance": 120.0, "dry_up": 0.139836, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029074, "annualized_volatility": 0.41037, "from_high_reference": -0.012865, "from_low_reference": 0.648405 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.018456, "fair_value_reference": 15.593617, "structural_low": 18.860001, "invalidation": 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"relative_strength": 17.972918, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.250395, "energy": 65.97539, "activity_lines": [ 24.685333, 24.620909, 23.346683, 22.557242 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.559999, "volume": 74, "typical_volume": 146.75, "trend": 21.831164, "fair_value": 15.497202, "relative_strength": 19.696522, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.568458, "energy": 71.559848, "activity_lines": [ 24.981333, 24.799273, 23.674114, 22.809143 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.32, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 146.6, "trend": 22.018456, "fair_value": 15.593617, "relative_strength": 21.684838, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.762277, "energy": 66.108431, "activity_lines": [ 25.126666, 24.918363, 23.953785, 23.034229 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }