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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.307, "architecture_energy": 66.759, "architecture_maturity": 78.786, "architecture_confidence": 71.931, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.72, "rotation_up": 50.17, "upward_expansion": 80.67, "deceleration": 73.09, "rotation_down": 29.99, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 6773.558594, 6743.77304, 6125.172797, 5459.51925 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6766.669922, "trend_reference": 4746.57002, "distance_from_trend": 0.425592, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5787.060481, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.169276, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 35.977262, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.026553, "excess_performance": 1.08122, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.425592, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16098, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.169276, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.425355, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.359773, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.462105, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.026553, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.685567, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.685567, "dry_up": 0.074184, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036383, "annualized_volatility": 0.447097, "from_high_reference": -0.040189, "from_low_reference": 1.301492 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4746.57002, "fair_value_reference": 5787.060481, "structural_low": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.256203, "energy": 68.380037, "activity_lines": [ 6814.001953, 6620.761109, 5805.918243, 5185.899338 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6766.669922, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 50.55, "trend": 4679.600408, "fair_value": 5797.59806, "relative_strength": 36.673624, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.843022, "energy": 71.702024, "activity_lines": [ 6799.335938, 6695.379658, 5974.589699, 5324.869604 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6766.669922, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 50.55, "trend": 4746.57002, "fair_value": 5787.060481, "relative_strength": 35.977262, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.306519, "energy": 66.758634, "activity_lines": [ 6773.558594, 6743.77304, 6125.172797, 5459.51925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }