{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22609a8b-912a-4400-99e0-9ec8b05b5fb1", "symbol": "XESU", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA ESG UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.525, "architecture_energy": 53.734, "architecture_maturity": 54.58, "architecture_confidence": 65.089, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.3, "rotation_up": 47.91, "upward_expansion": 79.18, "deceleration": 70.86, "rotation_down": 28.82, "downward_expansion": 8.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.464333, 60.281818, 59.756191, 58.601237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 62.494999, "trend_reference": 57.360667, "distance_from_trend": 0.08951, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.131538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.271994, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.882782, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.135344, "excess_performance": 0.084109, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08951, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024554, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.271994, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027067, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.018828, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008407, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.135344, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.529342, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15737, "relative_activity": 0.29196, "balance": 1.529342, "dry_up": 0.466691, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019868, "annualized_volatility": 0.14427, "from_high_reference": -0.153957, "from_low_reference": 0.224432 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.360667, "fair_value_reference": 49.131538, "structural_low": 51.040001, "invalidation": "A 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60.274909, 58.823786, 57.80672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 59.240002, "volume": 19287, "typical_volume": 60782.55, "trend": 56.9785, "fair_value": 48.685865, "relative_strength": -0.75602, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.028741, "energy": 50.201408, "activity_lines": [ 60.003001, 60.113819, 59.006405, 57.958817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.185001, "volume": 39681, "typical_volume": 60484.85, "trend": 57.066833, "fair_value": 48.824663, "relative_strength": -2.056728, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.45777, "energy": 40.053755, "activity_lines": [ 59.674334, 59.932728, 59.163072, 58.101172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.509998, "volume": 25916, "typical_volume": 57280.1, "trend": 57.187167, "fair_value": 48.967275, "relative_strength": -2.658049, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.316804, "energy": 30.908757, "activity_lines": [ 59.557333, 59.831, 59.330738, 58.258796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.494999, "volume": 15737, "typical_volume": 53901.25, "trend": 57.360667, "fair_value": 49.131538, "relative_strength": 1.882782, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.524665, "energy": 53.734345, "activity_lines": [ 60.464333, 60.281818, 59.756191, 58.601237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }