{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22656b47-dd72-4804-9710-a61256449771", "symbol": "ENERG", "name": "Energeia AS", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 16.653, "architecture_energy": 18.683, "architecture_maturity": 41.418, "architecture_confidence": 49.661, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.17, "rotation_up": 54.39, "upward_expansion": 45.0, "deceleration": 24.03, "rotation_down": 20.96, "downward_expansion": 17.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.626667, 7.470909, 7.394095, 7.425295 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.8, "trend_reference": 7.4804, "distance_from_trend": 0.042725, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.656549, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.501806, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.769846, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.053912, "excess_performance": -0.071082, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042725, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007685, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.501806, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115679, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.177698, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.235885, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.053912, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.977783, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43046, "relative_activity": 0.882405, "balance": 1.977783, "dry_up": 0.432665, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108284, "annualized_volatility": 0.403394, "from_high_reference": -0.638228, "from_low_reference": 0.418182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.4804, "fair_value_reference": 15.656549, "structural_low": 5.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.097215, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.063906, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.116071, "worst_return": -0.418605, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.412385, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.411801, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.108861, "worst_return": -0.715909, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.056728, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.041398, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.056728, "worst_return": 0.056728, "sufficient": 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20.579586, "activity_lines": [ 7.214667, 7.227636, 7.348952, 7.430075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 7.04, "volume": 7703, "typical_volume": 59642.15, "trend": 7.503667, "fair_value": 16.513034, "relative_strength": -32.901121, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.9142, "energy": 23.686259, "activity_lines": [ 7.133333, 7.194545, 7.310286, 7.399172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.5, "volume": 24162, "typical_volume": 57768.45, "trend": 7.503667, "fair_value": 16.339697, "relative_strength": -25.968015, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.464837, "energy": 22.493736, "activity_lines": [ 7.202667, 7.254909, 7.318667, 7.398935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.5, "volume": 25, "typical_volume": 51440.95, "trend": 7.503667, "fair_value": 16.159998, "relative_strength": -25.030767, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.19479, "energy": 16.660316, "activity_lines": [ 7.278667, 7.300364, 7.328, 7.398699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 49548.5, "trend": 7.500333, "fair_value": 15.985389, "relative_strength": -24.717703, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.328615, "energy": 10.875806, "activity_lines": [ 7.386667, 7.334545, 7.337429, 7.398462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.6, "volume": 41355, "typical_volume": 50039.55, "trend": 7.483767, "fair_value": 15.820328, "relative_strength": -21.864384, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.630879, "energy": 10.503223, "activity_lines": [ 7.502667, 7.390182, 7.35619, 7.404892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.8, "volume": 43046, "typical_volume": 48782.6, "trend": 7.4804, "fair_value": 15.656549, "relative_strength": -17.769846, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.653209, "energy": 18.683381, "activity_lines": [ 7.626667, 7.470909, 7.394095, 7.425295 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }