{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22691c01-09b9-4215-ba96-3c031ba172cc", "symbol": "RSMV", "name": "RELATIVE STRENGTH MANAGED VOLATILITY STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 52.253, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.588, "architecture_energy": 21.299, "architecture_maturity": 58.729, "architecture_confidence": 77.391, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.52, "rotation_up": 22.27, "upward_expansion": 54.65, "deceleration": 90.78, "rotation_down": 34.5, "downward_expansion": 20.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.752673, 28.95202, 28.858014, 28.480403 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 28.9808, "trend_reference": 28.078167, "distance_from_trend": 0.032147, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.263137, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.103478, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.873824, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.057084, "excess_performance": -0.068541, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.032147, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022983, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.103478, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00572, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058738, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026412, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.057084, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.069552, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17998, "relative_activity": 0.472128, "balance": 1.069552, "dry_up": 0.708493, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026788, "annualized_volatility": 0.126772, "from_high_reference": -0.038461, "from_low_reference": 0.162524 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.078167, "fair_value_reference": 26.263137, "structural_low": 25.92, "invalidation": "A 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"trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.8695, "volume": 42930, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.5912, "volume": 14814, "typical_volume": 41628.25, "trend": 28.00241, "fair_value": 26.20238, "relative_strength": -3.011723, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.698028, "energy": 22.69174, "activity_lines": [ 28.931967, 29.1181, 28.781143, 28.39331 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.406, "volume": 32292, "typical_volume": 38297.35, "trend": 28.034447, "fair_value": 26.229585, "relative_strength": -4.598341, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.500042, "energy": 20.879412, "activity_lines": [ 28.716387, 28.977042, 28.796001, 28.419348 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.9808, "volume": 17998, "typical_volume": 38121.05, "trend": 28.078167, "fair_value": 26.263137, "relative_strength": -5.873824, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.588448, "energy": 21.298872, "activity_lines": [ 28.752673, 28.95202, 28.858014, 28.480403 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }