{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22717737-57c0-45d1-b18a-ec248bbf73bd", "symbol": "SHEMAROO", "name": "Shemaroo Entertainment Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 92.932, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.997, "architecture_energy": 21.571, "architecture_maturity": 60.268, "architecture_confidence": 93.011, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.83, "rotation_up": 24.36, "upward_expansion": 60.79, "deceleration": 91.05, "rotation_down": 27.47, "downward_expansion": 15.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 118.776665, 121.527999, 116.576476, 111.837678 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 115.089996, "trend_reference": 106.722, "distance_from_trend": 0.078409, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 134.44423, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.143957, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.40997, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.15529, "excess_performance": 0.198999, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078409, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040307, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.143957, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10109, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.0641, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086689, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.15529, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.174882, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63796, "relative_activity": 0.951064, "balance": 2.174882, "dry_up": 0.757459, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09265, "annualized_volatility": 0.495135, "from_high_reference": -0.159927, "from_low_reference": 0.576575 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 106.722, "fair_value_reference": 134.44423, "structural_low": 73.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.022272, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.034476, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.40451, "worst_return": -0.116265, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.084293, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.096502, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.294524, "worst_return": -0.165928, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.006494, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.060605, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.60086, "worst_return": -0.077254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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103.858667, "fair_value": 135.423205, "relative_strength": 20.535525, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.980321, "energy": 83.852263, "activity_lines": [ 123.348003, 115.607638, 108.080192, 105.518388 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 125.0, "volume": 3598, "typical_volume": 71141.95, "trend": 104.416667, "fair_value": 135.224807, "relative_strength": 16.696074, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.366073, "energy": 81.163924, "activity_lines": [ 125.366002, 118.235638, 110.098239, 106.882345 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 128.759995, "volume": 38507, "typical_volume": 69754.45, "trend": 105.078, "fair_value": 135.095705, "relative_strength": 20.570938, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.314425, "energy": 83.213261, "activity_lines": [ 127.225333, 121.142909, 112.389334, 108.452882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 121.650002, "volume": 61516, "typical_volume": 68806.45, "trend": 105.594334, "fair_value": 134.952436, "relative_strength": 13.576709, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.983165, "energy": 68.414436, "activity_lines": [ 125.695334, 122.234182, 113.845429, 109.522044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 121.379997, "volume": 46008, "typical_volume": 69249.7, "trend": 106.103334, "fair_value": 134.835961, "relative_strength": 16.041445, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.637303, "energy": 45.48035, "activity_lines": [ 123.869999, 122.944545, 115.178286, 110.540474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 117.5, "volume": 31917, "typical_volume": 65808.35, "trend": 106.38, "fair_value": 134.639166, "relative_strength": 9.457635, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.278924, "energy": 32.870377, "activity_lines": [ 121.365999, 122.584727, 116.037334, 111.275742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 115.089996, "volume": 63796, "typical_volume": 67078.55, "trend": 106.722, "fair_value": 134.44423, "relative_strength": 6.40997, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.997234, "energy": 21.570795, "activity_lines": [ 118.776665, 121.527999, 116.576476, 111.837678 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }