{ "ticker": { "uuid": "228f0177-20f8-412b-88b1-58fbf41d0417", "symbol": "6483", "name": "Original BioMedicals Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 62.297, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -19.526, "architecture_energy": 16.718, "architecture_maturity": 57.392, "architecture_confidence": 70.088, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.5, "rotation_up": 40.18, "upward_expansion": 23.93, "deceleration": 37.89, "rotation_down": 23.17, "downward_expansion": 55.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.693333, 13.324545, 13.364048, 13.821183 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 14.05, "trend_reference": 14.311667, "distance_from_trend": -0.018283, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.963089, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.006224, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.936776, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.063333, "excess_performance": -0.504705, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018283, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000909, "read": "Rising" 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"invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.059259, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.137515, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.411765, "worst_return": -0.113043, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.186957, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.077549, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.186957, "worst_return": 0.186957, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.391304, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.043255, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.391304, "worst_return": 0.391304, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -78.923516, "energy": 79.667398, "activity_lines": [ 12.546667, 12.994545, 13.961905, 14.318065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 13.5, "volume": 1157550, "typical_volume": 985010.25, "trend": 14.613333, "fair_value": 13.996239, "relative_strength": -34.339075, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.730538, "energy": 44.935025, "activity_lines": [ 12.793333, 12.992727, 13.846667, 14.250538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.4, "volume": 260999, "typical_volume": 915335.6, "trend": 14.58, "fair_value": 13.991186, "relative_strength": -31.912353, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.500824, "energy": 37.745877, "activity_lines": [ 12.996667, 13.003636, 13.729048, 14.172258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.95, "volume": 514181, "typical_volume": 771399.3, "trend": 14.443333, "fair_value": 13.974034, "relative_strength": -34.765541, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.709189, "energy": 44.863686, "activity_lines": [ 12.7, 12.789091, 13.483571, 14.002581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.25, "volume": 366534, "typical_volume": 709902.35, "trend": 14.325, "fair_value": 13.959667, "relative_strength": -33.959117, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.830023, "energy": 39.421094, "activity_lines": [ 12.546667, 12.672727, 13.298571, 13.861075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.3, "volume": 1944430, "typical_volume": 754307.25, "trend": 14.295, "fair_value": 13.962479, "relative_strength": -21.387027, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.589693, "energy": 19.64885, "activity_lines": [ 13.11, 12.942727, 13.330238, 13.859462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.95, "volume": 757970, "typical_volume": 745875.55, "trend": 14.298333, "fair_value": 13.962377, "relative_strength": -24.641665, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.547203, "energy": 15.701973, "activity_lines": [ 13.4, 13.13, 13.338571, 13.837204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 14.05, "volume": 398991, "typical_volume": 721694.65, "trend": 14.311667, "fair_value": 13.963089, "relative_strength": -25.936776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.526392, "energy": 16.718252, "activity_lines": [ 13.693333, 13.324545, 13.364048, 13.821183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }