{ "ticker": { "uuid": "228f90fb-d492-467f-b2aa-96547fcec372", "symbol": "BET", "name": "Betmakers Technology Group Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.526, "architecture_energy": 17.425, "architecture_maturity": 40.71, "architecture_confidence": 92.911, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.32, "rotation_up": 32.17, "upward_expansion": 23.72, "deceleration": 35.85, "rotation_down": 33.98, "downward_expansion": 57.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.171, 0.169455, 0.172595, 0.174118 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.165, "trend_reference": 0.1775, "distance_from_trend": -0.070423, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.126301, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.3064, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.526563, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.214286, "excess_performance": -0.277991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070423, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010223, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.3064, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.220019, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.115266, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.285088, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.214286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.21601, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3879641, "relative_activity": 0.961236, "balance": 0.21601, "dry_up": 1.194369, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089744, "annualized_volatility": 0.538877, "from_high_reference": -0.34, "from_low_reference": 0.222222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1775, "fair_value_reference": 0.126301, "structural_low": 0.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.027027, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.575758, "median_excess_return": -0.030595, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.328125, "worst_return": -0.378641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.18716, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.18207, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.117647, "worst_return": -0.455556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.369963, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.363584, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.348315, "worst_return": -0.527778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.250585, "energy": 18.852423, "activity_lines": [ 0.171, 0.170182, 0.174, 0.175935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.18, "volume": 2799360, "typical_volume": 3922853.15, "trend": 0.179667, "fair_value": 0.125917, "relative_strength": 2.047262, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.095585, "energy": 14.497174, "activity_lines": [ 0.175333, 0.171545, 0.174524, 0.175957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.165, "volume": 8896165, "typical_volume": 4006406.15, "trend": 0.178833, "fair_value": 0.126141, "relative_strength": -8.730919, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.094926, "energy": 22.89803, "activity_lines": [ 0.173333, 0.170364, 0.173571, 0.175011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.165, "volume": 3879641, "typical_volume": 4036097.2, "trend": 0.1775, "fair_value": 0.126301, "relative_strength": -11.526563, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.525581, "energy": 17.424752, "activity_lines": [ 0.171, 0.169455, 0.172595, 0.174118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }