{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22b5643a-6dd1-43a8-b613-03d121938549", "symbol": "9300", "name": "Alwaha REIT Fund", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.334, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.539, "architecture_energy": 32.033, "architecture_maturity": 21.867, "architecture_confidence": 86.622, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.54, "rotation_up": 21.83, "upward_expansion": 9.4, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 50.77, "downward_expansion": 78.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.339333, 9.380364, 9.418381, 9.460111 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.3, "trend_reference": 9.522269, "distance_from_trend": -0.023342, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.554051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.118822, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.444572, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.041029, "excess_performance": -0.0092, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023342, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006876, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.118822, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01687, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.014446, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040266, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.041029, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.732775, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1813, "relative_activity": 0.531329, "balance": 0.732775, "dry_up": 0.936126, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037717, "annualized_volatility": 0.171283, "from_high_reference": -0.190601, "from_low_reference": 0.039661 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.522269, "fair_value_reference": 10.554051, "structural_low": 9.21, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.775172, "energy": 47.018428, "activity_lines": [ 9.376, 9.410727, 9.472333, 9.512345 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 9.79, "volume": 5654, "typical_volume": 5816.4, "trend": 9.554659, "fair_value": 10.596544, "relative_strength": 3.013701, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.949243, "energy": 7.326849, "activity_lines": [ 9.512, 9.470545, 9.495619, 9.52783 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 9.3, "volume": 2194, "typical_volume": 4234.1, "trend": 9.543004, "fair_value": 10.587867, "relative_strength": -1.759348, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.24853, "energy": 17.36412, "activity_lines": [ 9.458667, 9.439636, 9.472714, 9.511401 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.3, "volume": 697, "typical_volume": 4195.55, "trend": 9.537461, "fair_value": 10.579191, "relative_strength": -0.812503, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.660046, "energy": 18.563118, "activity_lines": [ 9.418667, 9.414182, 9.453095, 9.495723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.23, "volume": 4507, "typical_volume": 3073.1, "trend": 9.520256, "fair_value": 10.570171, "relative_strength": -2.048134, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.295445, "energy": 25.784972, "activity_lines": [ 9.355333, 9.379636, 9.428476, 9.475887 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.5, "volume": 5760, "typical_volume": 3326.55, "trend": 9.524274, "fair_value": 10.562752, "relative_strength": 2.908227, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.282344, "energy": 28.084947, "activity_lines": [ 9.380667, 9.399091, 9.43319, 9.47458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.3, "volume": 1813, "typical_volume": 3412.2, "trend": 9.522269, "fair_value": 10.554051, "relative_strength": -1.444572, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.538677, "energy": 32.033159, "activity_lines": [ 9.339333, 9.380364, 9.418381, 9.460111 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }