{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22b95a8a-c9b1-4457-bb77-53e3d035a351", "symbol": "FTN", "name": "Financial 15 Split Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.919, "architecture_energy": 67.611, "architecture_maturity": 78.831, "architecture_confidence": 85.794, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.65, "rotation_up": 64.35, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.66, "rotation_down": 21.73, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.556807, 12.301514, 11.539204, 10.90604 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.45, "trend_reference": 10.224947, "distance_from_trend": 0.21761, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.295201, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.977697, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 19.374644, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.316972, "excess_performance": 0.196551, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.21761, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115317, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.977697, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258726, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.193746, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102889, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.316972, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.428655, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 679800, "relative_activity": 0.813963, "balance": 2.428655, "dry_up": 1.127849, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036969, "annualized_volatility": 0.277733, "from_high_reference": -0.045845, "from_low_reference": 0.892242 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.224947, "fair_value_reference": 6.295201, "structural_low": 7.363473, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.022866, "positive_rate": 0.736842, "directional_follow_through": 0.736842, "median_excess_return": 0.017677, "regime_survival": 0.815789, "best_return": 0.181402, "worst_return": -0.130838, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.091244, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": 0.063639, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.278779, "worst_return": -0.065338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.148955, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.095097, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.425237, "worst_return": -0.141786, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.984782, "energy": 93.803884, "activity_lines": [ 12.487533, 12.006633, 11.161264, 10.59485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.52, "volume": 1246500, "typical_volume": 862728.5, "trend": 10.126899, "fair_value": 6.241788, "relative_strength": 24.847067, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.528801, "energy": 68.717867, "activity_lines": [ 12.559294, 12.178853, 11.364154, 10.756162 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.45, "volume": 679800, "typical_volume": 835173.5, "trend": 10.224947, "fair_value": 6.295201, "relative_strength": 19.374644, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.918616, "energy": 67.61118, "activity_lines": [ 12.556807, 12.301514, 11.539204, 10.90604 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }