{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "22be4b2e-c864-4bcf-b1a8-6043271975f9",
    "symbol": "FMAY",
    "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY BUFFER ETF - MAY",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 49.928,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.817,
    "architecture_energy": 55.025,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.694,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.557,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.56,
        "rotation_up": 60.29,
        "upward_expansion": 80.55,
        "deceleration": 65.07,
        "rotation_down": 21.55,
        "downward_expansion": 7.21
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 57.5164,
    "trend_reference": 54.85879,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.048445,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 47.710901,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.205519,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.740533,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.067501,
    "excess_performance": -0.058124,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048445,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019694,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205519,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005174,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047405,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007135,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067501,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.169746,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 85071,
      "relative_activity": 0.263485,
      "balance": 1.169746,
      "dry_up": 0.378363,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014851,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.07791,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005079,
      "from_low_reference": 0.130406
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.85879,
      "fair_value_reference": 47.710901,
      "structural_low": 51.69,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.009962,
        "positive_rate": 0.675,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.675,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002859,
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        "worst_return": -0.045146,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 158778.2,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 56.05,
        "volume": 152254,
        "typical_volume": 319168.05,
        "trend": 54.55747,
        "fair_value": 47.37819,
        "relative_strength": -3.852793,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 59.131632,
        "energy": 48.265516,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.9,
        "volume": 113309,
        "typical_volume": 318611.85,
        "trend": 54.63597,
        "fair_value": 47.482613,
        "relative_strength": -3.423666,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 58.304982,
        "energy": 46.094799,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.079333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 56.35,
        "volume": 138012,
        "typical_volume": 320491.25,
        "trend": 54.733637,
        "fair_value": 47.592806,
        "relative_strength": -3.550627,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.445306,
        "energy": 45.772381,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.187333,
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          55.315687
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 57.5164,
        "volume": 85071,
        "typical_volume": 322868.15,
        "trend": 54.85879,
        "fair_value": 47.710901,
        "relative_strength": -4.740533,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.816515,
        "energy": 55.02543,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}