{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22c30699-9282-48d6-848e-cffb6189abe9", "symbol": "VUKE", "name": "Vanguard FTSE 100 UCITS ETF", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.547, "architecture_energy": 95.821, "architecture_maturity": 18.168, "architecture_confidence": 69.659, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 88.98, "upward_expansion": 99.99, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.11, "downward_expansion": 21.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.985668, 50.122054, 49.073648, 48.575289 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 51.740002, "trend_reference": 48.036163, "distance_from_trend": 0.077105, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.401003, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.280661, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.953746, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.099898, "excess_performance": 0.017014, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077105, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033396, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.280661, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092706, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009537, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003007, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.099898, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.472784, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85109, "relative_activity": 2.393119, "balance": 4.472784, "dry_up": 1.140246, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015249, "annualized_volatility": 0.133443, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.230249 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.036163, "fair_value_reference": 40.401003, "structural_low": 44.605, "invalidation": "A 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48.588528, 48.084879, 47.79098, 47.607842 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 49.255001, "volume": 37105, "typical_volume": 30764.6, "trend": 47.359649, "fair_value": 39.958615, "relative_strength": -1.731159, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.653223, "energy": 78.460573, "activity_lines": [ 48.897347, 48.370183, 47.94205, 47.740007 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.544998, "volume": 4018, "typical_volume": 30750.0, "trend": 47.50644, "fair_value": 40.060685, "relative_strength": -1.909091, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.655263, "energy": 82.386816, "activity_lines": [ 49.206, 48.670465, 48.116784, 47.880998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.580002, "volume": 45380, "typical_volume": 31715.0, "trend": 47.679631, "fair_value": 40.167413, "relative_strength": 0.224497, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.385569, "energy": 93.580119, "activity_lines": [ 49.759, 49.103305, 48.38721, 48.079292 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.5, "volume": 27700, "typical_volume": 31736.55, "trend": 47.872412, "fair_value": 40.28434, "relative_strength": 1.88301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.453388, "energy": 96.040832, "activity_lines": [ 50.437334, 49.624924, 48.730598, 48.325767 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.740002, "volume": 85109, "typical_volume": 35564.05, "trend": 48.036163, "fair_value": 40.401003, "relative_strength": 0.953746, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.546722, "energy": 95.821428, "activity_lines": [ 50.985668, 50.122054, 49.073648, 48.575289 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }