{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22c6f7e8-31c0-4b5b-bfeb-6b781cb95f80", "symbol": "WBGR-B", "name": "W\u00e4stbygg Gruppen AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 84.962, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 26.826, "architecture_energy": 36.883, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 45.281, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.5, "rotation_up": 48.89, "upward_expansion": 38.31, "deceleration": 47.25, "rotation_down": 14.01, "downward_expansion": 46.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.995333, 1.885909, 1.722024, 1.820224 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.23, "trend_reference": 2.309495, "distance_from_trend": -0.034421, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.311954, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.900054, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -64.691877, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.484988, "excess_performance": -0.546483, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.034421, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.517447, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.900054, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045563, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.646919, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.196419, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.484988, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.85376, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2240749, "relative_activity": 1.335093, "balance": 5.85376, "dry_up": 0.563252, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082097, "annualized_volatility": 0.881098, "from_high_reference": -0.815702, "from_low_reference": 1.093897 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.309495, "fair_value_reference": 22.311954, "structural_low": 1.065, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.058144, "positive_rate": 0.361111, "directional_follow_through": 0.638889, "median_excess_return": -0.072625, "regime_survival": 0.916667, "best_return": 0.285141, "worst_return": -0.544211, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.276212, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.260016, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.487805, "worst_return": -0.633159, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.319915, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.377654, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.369338, "worst_return": -0.845604, "sufficient": true 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22.749358, "relative_strength": -71.633524, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.004417, "energy": 20.439622, "activity_lines": [ 1.815667, 1.753, 1.633857, 1.896535 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.935, "volume": 543549, "typical_volume": 1603203.55, "trend": 2.551829, "fair_value": 22.520736, "relative_strength": -69.865986, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.582984, "energy": 12.223329, "activity_lines": [ 1.864333, 1.797818, 1.663405, 1.840987 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.23, "volume": 2240749, "typical_volume": 1678347.25, "trend": 2.309495, "fair_value": 22.311954, "relative_strength": -64.691877, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 26.826398, "energy": 36.882976, "activity_lines": [ 1.995333, 1.885909, 1.722024, 1.820224 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }