{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22d8bb2c-af93-4085-83e2-560d78af0446", "symbol": "BMVP", "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR BLOOMBERG MVP MULTI FACTOR ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.614, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.278, "architecture_energy": 89.56, "architecture_maturity": 12.259, "architecture_confidence": 65.088, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.81, "rotation_up": 86.45, "upward_expansion": 97.92, "deceleration": 39.02, "rotation_down": 8.51, "downward_expansion": 19.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.43146, 52.746839, 52.098441, 51.778035 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 54.2637, "trend_reference": 51.520888, "distance_from_trend": 0.053237, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.592982, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.190177, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.64967, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.029366, "excess_performance": -0.096259, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.053237, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023349, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.190177, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049069, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036497, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047781, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.029366, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 27.305213, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4725, "relative_activity": 0.803729, "balance": 27.305213, "dry_up": 1.018779, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016637, "annualized_volatility": 0.100608, "from_high_reference": -0.000709, "from_low_reference": 0.154205 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.520888, "fair_value_reference": 45.592982, "structural_low": 49.18, 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50.69084, "fair_value": 44.892346, "relative_strength": -7.801825, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.930382, "energy": 27.924166, "activity_lines": [ 51.40629, 51.307501, 51.110892, 51.029646 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 51.2408, "volume": 5505, "typical_volume": 5905.9, "trend": 50.765626, "fair_value": 44.985343, "relative_strength": -4.403528, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.904672, "energy": 24.066913, "activity_lines": [ 51.317539, 51.301426, 51.113151, 51.065128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 51.9168, "volume": 1468, "typical_volume": 5570.15, "trend": 50.870395, "fair_value": 45.085559, "relative_strength": -4.995777, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.192937, "energy": 30.516521, "activity_lines": [ 51.491551, 51.425613, 51.186814, 51.139397 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 52.1576, "volume": 6511, "typical_volume": 5801.65, "trend": 50.973532, "fair_value": 45.18256, "relative_strength": -5.649272, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.323029, "energy": 32.012594, "activity_lines": [ 51.711992, 51.575667, 51.284452, 51.222442 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 52.505, "volume": 9888, "typical_volume": 6243.25, "trend": 51.098974, "fair_value": 45.278385, "relative_strength": -3.383391, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.086944, "energy": 58.658583, "activity_lines": [ 52.007281, 51.776929, 51.416669, 51.321247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 53.0938, "volume": 3580, "typical_volume": 6202.6, "trend": 51.227976, "fair_value": 45.378816, "relative_strength": -1.616563, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.455272, "energy": 75.59499, "activity_lines": [ 52.46908, 52.049101, 51.6053, 51.449945 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.4261, "volume": 5764, "typical_volume": 6171.85, "trend": 51.376431, "fair_value": 45.484281, "relative_strength": -1.949378, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.551822, "energy": 80.612342, "activity_lines": [ 52.883513, 52.336587, 51.819047, 51.59176 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.2637, "volume": 4725, "typical_volume": 5878.85, "trend": 51.520888, "fair_value": 45.592982, "relative_strength": -3.64967, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.278172, "energy": 89.559914, "activity_lines": [ 53.43146, 52.746839, 52.098441, 51.778035 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }