{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22ded4cf-b056-48e0-9d38-761db489a705", "symbol": "300132", "name": "Fujian Green Pine Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.493, "architecture_energy": 42.146, "architecture_maturity": 84.365, "architecture_confidence": 86.612, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.1, "rotation_up": 27.48, "upward_expansion": 19.6, "deceleration": 46.91, "rotation_down": 37.53, "downward_expansion": 67.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.199333, 6.067818, 6.67681, 7.20886 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.51, "trend_reference": 7.815667, "distance_from_trend": -0.167058, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.707372, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.14063, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.375415, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.222222, "excess_performance": -0.229622, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.167058, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066935, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.14063, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.443297, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153754, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154216, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.222222, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.115998, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97896267, "relative_activity": 1.39255, "balance": 1.115998, "dry_up": 1.516835, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105045, "annualized_volatility": 0.456895, "from_high_reference": -0.341093, "from_low_reference": 0.205556 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.815667, "fair_value_reference": 5.707372, "structural_low": 5.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.022157, "positive_rate": 0.366667, "directional_follow_through": 0.633333, "median_excess_return": 0.003647, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.281609, "worst_return": -0.326072, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.089526, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.066535, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.408284, "worst_return": -0.361181, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.163569, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.079179, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.464497, "worst_return": -0.457286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 77322080, "typical_volume": 67512954.45, "trend": 8.014333, "fair_value": 5.693718, "relative_strength": -25.471611, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.985391, "energy": 83.740471, "activity_lines": [ 5.714667, 6.085273, 7.026143, 7.52514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.1, "volume": 152208242, "typical_volume": 69350883.35, "trend": 7.949, "fair_value": 5.696859, "relative_strength": -18.105978, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.649959, "energy": 62.514644, "activity_lines": [ 5.826667, 6.007818, 6.874, 7.401634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.34, "volume": 99107192, "typical_volume": 69938066.95, "trend": 7.889, "fair_value": 5.702051, "relative_strength": -13.418259, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.612469, "energy": 52.310711, "activity_lines": [ 6.011333, 6.010364, 6.761095, 7.297828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.51, "volume": 97896267, "typical_volume": 70299976.75, "trend": 7.815667, "fair_value": 5.707372, "relative_strength": -15.375415, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.492506, "energy": 42.14554, "activity_lines": [ 6.199333, 6.067818, 6.67681, 7.20886 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }