{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "22def0f1-7349-4030-9127-bf893dfb772d",
    "symbol": "ISCG",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR SM-CAP GWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.097,
    "architecture_energy": 41.626,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.22,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.929,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.5,
        "rotation_up": 40.41,
        "upward_expansion": 69.74,
        "deceleration": 93.07,
        "rotation_down": 27.95,
        "downward_expansion": 10.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        63.660667,
        63.63817,
        62.766834,
        61.47869
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 65.5,
    "trend_reference": 60.108837,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.08969,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 49.426062,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.325212,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.229374,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.117611,
    "excess_performance": -0.008014,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08969,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045551,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.325212,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027015,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012294,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000215,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117611,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.086734,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 102694,
      "relative_activity": 0.700586,
      "balance": 2.086734,
      "dry_up": 0.742889,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03258,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.167662,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007155,
      "from_low_reference": 0.305207
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.108837,
      "fair_value_reference": 49.426062,
      "structural_low": 52.628278,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.010757,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011539,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.064588,
        "worst_return": -0.067758,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.055332,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025349,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.105701,
        "worst_return": -0.185557,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.109452,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036998,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.127077,
        "worst_return": 0.009348,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.115034,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0967,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.215755,
        "worst_return": 0.014312,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041601,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.10182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.075288,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010398,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.158036,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015997,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012911,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.044474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010658,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.049967,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03517,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004113,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.033068,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 225649.7,
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        "fair_value": 48.100624,
        "relative_strength": 0.035575,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 48.560131,
        "relative_strength": 6.030035,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 201607.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 48.860953,
        "relative_strength": 1.330436,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 63.09,
        "volume": 104981,
        "typical_volume": 187274.85,
        "trend": 59.461214,
        "fair_value": 48.997363,
        "relative_strength": 1.694753,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.525397,
        "energy": 54.206456,
        "activity_lines": [
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          61.915365,
          60.739256
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 62.33,
        "volume": 122261,
        "typical_volume": 176779.2,
        "trend": 59.648787,
        "fair_value": 49.128253,
        "relative_strength": 0.986705,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.490648,
        "energy": 37.733899,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.26,
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          62.122492,
          60.924339
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 62.61,
        "volume": 105644,
        "typical_volume": 156033.2,
        "trend": 59.868773,
        "fair_value": 49.265576,
        "relative_strength": 0.270583,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.689573,
        "energy": 28.426407,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.921333,
          63.204898,
          62.325643,
          61.115385
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 65.5,
        "volume": 102694,
        "typical_volume": 146583.05,
        "trend": 60.108837,
        "fair_value": 49.426062,
        "relative_strength": 1.229374,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.0973,
        "energy": 41.625587,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.660667,
          63.63817,
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          61.47869
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}