{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22dfb6b3-8ff6-4f8f-b571-4a89b240d632", "symbol": "UEF5", "name": "UBS MSCI EM Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.429, "architecture_energy": 25.304, "architecture_maturity": 67.097, "architecture_confidence": 88.061, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.48, "rotation_up": 26.24, "upward_expansion": 58.87, "deceleration": 88.32, "rotation_down": 30.94, "downward_expansion": 20.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.7204, 19.992236, 19.753886, 19.075606 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 20.030001, "trend_reference": 18.189144, "distance_from_trend": 0.101206, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.400371, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.494735, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.737094, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.223809, "excess_performance": 0.107147, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.101206, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101969, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.494735, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042402, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.077371, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142419, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.223809, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.637138, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29354, "relative_activity": 0.563214, "balance": 0.637138, "dry_up": 1.004966, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047978, "annualized_volatility": 0.252067, "from_high_reference": -0.061299, "from_low_reference": 0.50001 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.189144, "fair_value_reference": 13.400371, "structural_low": 15.525, "invalidation": "A 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70.94109, "energy": 67.477964, "activity_lines": [ 20.620133, 20.279872, 19.186352, 18.423009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 20.49, "volume": 98200, "typical_volume": 61750.95, "trend": 17.620133, "fair_value": 13.176849, "relative_strength": 14.495854, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.254885, "energy": 64.073441, "activity_lines": [ 20.615133, 20.391109, 19.396962, 18.620383 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.315001, "volume": 105799, "typical_volume": 61715.1, "trend": 17.763204, "fair_value": 13.232134, "relative_strength": 6.817229, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.852106, "energy": 45.041569, "activity_lines": [ 20.173867, 20.245418, 19.479205, 18.72973 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.695999, "volume": 27826, "typical_volume": 58068.65, "trend": 17.916829, "fair_value": 13.286543, "relative_strength": 8.712693, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.553413, "energy": 35.244728, "activity_lines": [ 19.933133, 20.170709, 19.587681, 18.854426 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.362, "volume": 46531, "typical_volume": 53804.2, "trend": 18.046884, "fair_value": 13.34033, "relative_strength": 5.65962, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.349084, "energy": 24.105896, "activity_lines": [ 19.684067, 20.020473, 19.646762, 18.947663 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.030001, "volume": 29354, "typical_volume": 52118.7, "trend": 18.189144, "fair_value": 13.400371, "relative_strength": 7.737094, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.42913, "energy": 25.303746, "activity_lines": [ 19.7204, 19.992236, 19.753886, 19.075606 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }