{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22e3e300-5ece-46be-a055-5af7852ec1e5", "symbol": "TIP", "name": "Teaminvest Private Group Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 32.562, "architecture_energy": 43.513, "architecture_maturity": 37.732, "architecture_confidence": 61.508, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.87, "rotation_up": 57.89, "upward_expansion": 39.7, "deceleration": 44.38, "rotation_down": 14.02, "downward_expansion": 45.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.291, 1.239091, 1.212786, 1.238222 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.395, "trend_reference": 1.301736, "distance_from_trend": 0.071646, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.598624, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.127375, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.767124, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.153325, "excess_performance": -0.21703, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071646, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105577, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.127375, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.139313, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.107671, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146271, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.153325, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.436016, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35218, "relative_activity": 0.852919, "balance": 3.436016, "dry_up": 1.101513, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042459, "annualized_volatility": 0.330285, "from_high_reference": -0.2599, "from_low_reference": 0.303738 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.301736, "fair_value_reference": 1.598624, "structural_low": 1.07, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.003766, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.022875, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.446043, "worst_return": -0.058537, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.061333, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.140183, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.47482, "worst_return": -0.157729, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.1849, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.262227, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.30428, "worst_return": -0.246441, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.019679, "energy": 56.608672, "activity_lines": [ 1.167667, 1.162455, 1.19, 1.250373 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.21, "volume": 105023, "typical_volume": 45336.55, "trend": 1.330559, "fair_value": 1.602714, "relative_strength": -19.848481, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.67595, "energy": 30.515969, "activity_lines": [ 1.188, 1.170182, 1.187905, 1.241686 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.27, "volume": 27140, "typical_volume": 45623.35, "trend": 1.319786, "fair_value": 1.601147, "relative_strength": -15.234533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.752853, "energy": 27.391975, "activity_lines": [ 1.223, 1.188636, 1.192643, 1.237779 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.24, "volume": 14550, "typical_volume": 42089.1, "trend": 1.308342, "fair_value": 1.599389, "relative_strength": -18.601684, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.993782, "energy": 23.87468, "activity_lines": [ 1.234667, 1.200182, 1.19519, 1.232631 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.395, "volume": 35218, "typical_volume": 41291.15, "trend": 1.301736, "fair_value": 1.598624, "relative_strength": -10.767124, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 32.562067, "energy": 43.51294, "activity_lines": [ 1.291, 1.239091, 1.212786, 1.238222 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }