{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22e4a44c-b1b3-4806-bf30-2e32ca64d6eb", "symbol": "WEIR", "name": "The Weir Group PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -1.141, "architecture_energy": 18.323, "architecture_maturity": 81.379, "architecture_confidence": 58.203, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.37, "rotation_up": 38.27, "upward_expansion": 26.83, "deceleration": 50.08, "rotation_down": 17.02, "downward_expansion": 48.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 2624.133333, 2544.581818, 2542.735055, 2642.500461 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2722.0, "trend_reference": 2805.408724, "distance_from_trend": -0.029731, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2328.595015, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.168945, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.996447, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.199818, "excess_performance": -0.251054, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029731, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041607, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.168945, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051005, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.099964, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041626, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.199818, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.713532, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4200539, "relative_activity": 0.925948, "balance": 1.713532, "dry_up": 1.417019, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057248, "annualized_volatility": 0.403439, "from_high_reference": -0.239604, "from_low_reference": 0.188646 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2805.408724, "fair_value_reference": 2328.595015, 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"close": 2636.0, "volume": 9141057, "typical_volume": 4663202.85, "trend": 2814.667399, "fair_value": 2322.982907, "relative_strength": -12.72202, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.794968, "energy": 24.500677, "activity_lines": [ 2559.333333, 2496.581818, 2532.2617, 2648.479003 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2722.0, "volume": 4200539, "typical_volume": 4536475.3, "trend": 2805.408724, "fair_value": 2328.595015, "relative_strength": -9.996447, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.140697, "energy": 18.322502, "activity_lines": [ 2624.133333, 2544.581818, 2542.735055, 2642.500461 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }