{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22e57ef7-ca4e-49ee-90a5-e917eead86aa", "symbol": "BC", "name": "Brunswick Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 58.079, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 1.739, "architecture_energy": 2.69, "architecture_maturity": 13.745, "architecture_confidence": 62.577, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 66.3, "rotation_up": 23.69, "upward_expansion": 24.15, "deceleration": 61.87, "rotation_down": 37.96, "downward_expansion": 28.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 80.154, 80.587368, 80.499998, 79.654473 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 81.55, "trend_reference": 79.718051, "distance_from_trend": 0.02298, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.548676, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.139783, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.981297, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.061763, "excess_performance": -0.187387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02298, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04344, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.139783, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005631, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019813, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084883, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.061763, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.144609, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2920682, "relative_activity": 0.852991, "balance": 1.144609, "dry_up": 1.054129, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075942, "annualized_volatility": 0.336355, "from_high_reference": -0.086401, "from_low_reference": 0.496321 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 79.718051, "fair_value_reference": 71.548676, "structural_low": 66.676352, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.005853, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": 0.021869, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.121859, "worst_return": -0.160266, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.010801, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.052496, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.226137, "worst_return": -0.243418, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.014323, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.070399, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.38707, "worst_return": -0.296292, 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"fair_value": 71.536341, "relative_strength": 1.123737, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.953336, "energy": 7.77277, "activity_lines": [ 79.995785, 80.941358, 80.190274, 79.595905 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 79.0, "volume": 4890462, "typical_volume": 3527618.2, "trend": 79.886774, "fair_value": 71.536876, "relative_strength": -1.40524, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.305034, "energy": 8.526724, "activity_lines": [ 79.394667, 80.518304, 80.24867, 79.547168 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 81.55, "volume": 2920682, "typical_volume": 3424048.9, "trend": 79.718051, "fair_value": 71.548676, "relative_strength": -1.981297, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.739447, "energy": 2.68981, "activity_lines": [ 80.154, 80.587368, 80.499998, 79.654473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }