{ "ticker": { "uuid": "22e7c4eb-0035-4331-904a-c8fc468b2b5a", "symbol": "1565", "name": "St.Shine Optical Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.227, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.953, "architecture_energy": 43.862, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.34, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.68, "rotation_up": 24.48, "upward_expansion": 6.09, "deceleration": 52.83, "rotation_down": 48.21, "downward_expansion": 77.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.506667, 94.172728, 95.392381, 97.97828 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 94.599998, "trend_reference": 102.183333, "distance_from_trend": -0.074213, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 153.612901, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.384166, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -43.264615, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.170175, "excess_performance": -0.611547, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.074213, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083174, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.384166, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037743, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.432646, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094542, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.170175, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.319025, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 623111, "relative_activity": 0.790486, "balance": 1.319025, "dry_up": 0.725811, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042365, "annualized_volatility": 0.175839, "from_high_reference": -0.371429, "from_low_reference": 0.04646 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 102.183333, "fair_value_reference": 153.612901, "structural_low": 90.400002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.017921, "positive_rate": 0.358974, "directional_follow_through": 0.641026, "median_excess_return": -0.017794, "regime_survival": 0.871795, "best_return": 0.19774, "worst_return": -0.11948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.060287, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.098944, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.251067, "worst_return": -0.187013, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.119047, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.141964, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.116292, "worst_return": -0.242754, 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.491158, "energy": 42.152557, "activity_lines": [ 94.86, 94.927273, 96.959524, 99.973118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 92.0, "volume": 673129, "typical_volume": 793752.85, "trend": 103.586667, "fair_value": 154.770884, "relative_strength": -43.862445, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.936161, "energy": 49.185483, "activity_lines": [ 93.76, 94.4, 96.244762, 99.172903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 93.300003, "volume": 623226, "typical_volume": 784433.8, "trend": 102.83, "fair_value": 154.187726, "relative_strength": -43.25013, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.35657, "energy": 46.899785, "activity_lines": [ 93.253335, 94.161819, 95.727619, 98.509247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 94.599998, "volume": 623111, "typical_volume": 788263.4, "trend": 102.183333, "fair_value": 153.612901, "relative_strength": -43.264615, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.952944, "energy": 43.861775, "activity_lines": [ 93.506667, 94.172728, 95.392381, 97.97828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }