{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "22eec145-0cba-4045-8cae-64f948816d76",
    "symbol": "ADAG",
    "name": "Adagene Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 33.978,
    "architecture_energy": 17.064,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.029,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.99,
        "rotation_up": 29.9,
        "upward_expansion": 49.8,
        "deceleration": 87.09,
        "rotation_down": 32.21,
        "downward_expansion": 24.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.751333,
        3.829273,
        3.80519,
        3.735699
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 4.11,
    "trend_reference": 3.527,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.165296,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.401602,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.711358,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 28.373653,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.562738,
    "excess_performance": 0.375284,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165296,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.237761,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.711358,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035219,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.283737,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019707,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.562738,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.955137,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1213779,
      "relative_activity": 1.007422,
      "balance": 1.955137,
      "dry_up": 0.86926,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.195596,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.841668,
      "from_high_reference": -0.152577,
      "from_low_reference": 2.161538
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.527,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.401602,
      "structural_low": 2.5113,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.048255,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027231,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
        "best_return": 0.494565,
        "worst_return": -0.221667,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.02069,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071551,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 1.248227,
        "worst_return": -0.231884,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.12,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010401,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 1.171233,
        "worst_return": -0.298913,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.45766,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.09088,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.051429,
        "worst_return": -0.307971,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.192029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.18,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.264286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.033981,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.020513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.365714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.084507,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.201705,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.098361,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.38191,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.403042,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.197143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.284116,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.096,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 1.15,
        "volume": 96397,
        "typical_volume": 99679.65,
        "trend": 1.484787,
        "fair_value": 6.877328,
        "relative_strength": -30.242929,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -67.703176,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1010705.25,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 15.111166,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 28.330438,
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          3.521032
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 2020629,
        "typical_volume": 1127091.0,
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        "fair_value": 2.326616,
        "relative_strength": 47.437489,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 64.058443,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1235044.2,
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        "fair_value": 2.342513,
        "relative_strength": 26.516149,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.09821,
        "energy": 46.65108,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.106667,
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          3.848,
          3.656301
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.59,
        "volume": 868502,
        "typical_volume": 1259249.0,
        "trend": 3.33,
        "fair_value": 2.356744,
        "relative_strength": 19.194962,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.87677,
        "energy": 28.103628,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.962667,
          3.893273,
          3.833048,
          3.676882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.2,
        "volume": 797331,
        "typical_volume": 1289729.6,
        "trend": 3.377333,
        "fair_value": 2.368476,
        "relative_strength": 7.421232,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.577258,
        "energy": 6.486623,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.687333,
          3.779818,
          3.777952,
          3.668495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.75,
        "volume": 1309652,
        "typical_volume": 1186475.85,
        "trend": 3.441,
        "fair_value": 2.383846,
        "relative_strength": 24.115472,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.784614,
        "energy": 12.137646,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.644667,
          3.771818,
          3.773524,
          3.692538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.11,
        "volume": 1213779,
        "typical_volume": 1204836.95,
        "trend": 3.527,
        "fair_value": 2.401602,
        "relative_strength": 28.373653,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.978498,
        "energy": 17.063678,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.751333,
          3.829273,
          3.80519,
          3.735699
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}